NTRS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.7% | 4.6% | 42% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -0.1% | 5.1% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 4.62 | 4.23 | -8.3% | -2.0% | -3.5% | -0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 2.33 | 2.71 | +16.1% | +1.9% | +8.0% | -2.8% | -3.4% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 2.37 | 2.42 | +2.0% | +3.9% | +6.0% | -1.6% | -8.3% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 2.24 | 2.29 | +2.2% | -3.1% | -2.4% | +1.4% | +0.2% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 2.04 | 2.13 | +4.2% | -4.4% | -1.8% | +5.9% | +2.5% |
| 2025-04-22 beat | 1.84 | 1.90 | +3.1% | +6.6% | +3.0% | +5.2% | +17.9% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 2.00 | 2.26 | +12.8% | -0.9% | +2.0% | +2.9% | +3.0% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.93 | 2.22 | +15.1% | +5.4% | +7.0% | -1.0% | +6.3% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 1.73 | 4.34 | +151.0% | +1.4% | -5.1% | +0.3% | +0.1% |
| 2024-04-16 miss | 1.06 | 0.96 | -9.8% | -3.5% | -5.0% | +5.8% | +8.7% |
| 2024-01-18 miss | 0.91 | 0.52 | -42.9% | +2.5% | -2.4% | +1.1% | -1.2% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 1.49 | 1.49 | -0.2% | -2.1% | -6.6% | -4.4% | +13.2% |
| 2023-07-19 miss | 1.61 | 1.56 | -3.2% | +6.8% | +13.4% | -1.8% | -5.3% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.51 | 1.51 | +0.1% | -2.5% | -9.3% | -4.5% | -8.7% |
| 2023-01-19 miss | 1.79 | 0.71 | -60.4% | -3.8% | -8.6% | +7.2% | +6.9% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 1.85 | 1.80 | -2.5% | -10.8% | -9.2% | +3.2% | +14.2% |
| 2022-07-20 miss | 1.93 | 1.86 | -3.4% | -2.1% | -4.0% | -0.2% | +5.7% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.64 | 1.77 | +7.9% | +0.0% | +2.1% | -2.3% | -0.3% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 1.81 | 1.91 | +5.6% | -0.2% | -4.6% | -4.4% | -1.2% |
| 2021-10-20 beat | 1.68 | 1.80 | +7.4% | +2.1% | +3.4% | -3.5% | -3.3% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.72 | 1.72 | +0.2% | +1.3% | +1.6% | -1.5% | +0.0% |
| 2021-04-20 beat | 1.49 | 1.70 | +14.4% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +3.5% | +9.3% |
| 2021-01-21 miss | 1.49 | 1.12 | -24.6% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -3.2% | +3.6% |
| 2020-10-21 miss | 1.37 | 1.32 | -3.9% | -0.7% | +0.0% | -9.3% | +8.8% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 1.37 | 1.46 | +6.5% | +3.1% | -5.3% | +4.8% | +7.7% |
| 2020-04-21 beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +7.2% | -1.4% | -6.2% | +7.7% | +0.4% |
| 2020-01-22 miss | 1.73 | 1.70 | -1.7% | -5.7% | -3.2% | -5.2% | -3.0% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.64 | 1.69 | +3.3% | +1.5% | +2.7% | +0.9% | +6.6% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.67 | 1.75 | +5.1% | -0.2% | +4.7% | -1.5% | -12.3% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 1.47 | 1.48 | +0.4% | +1.1% | +4.4% | +2.7% | -2.7% |
| 2019-01-23 beat | 1.64 | 1.80 | +10.0% | +3.3% | -0.7% | -0.6% | +3.0% |
| 2018-10-17 miss | 1.61 | 1.58 | -1.6% | -6.8% | -5.2% | -6.2% | +3.4% |
| 2018-07-18 beat | 1.63 | 1.68 | +3.1% | +1.9% | +4.7% | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2018-04-17 beat | 1.40 | 1.58 | +12.7% | +2.5% | +1.5% | +0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2018-01-24 beat | 1.37 | 1.51 | +9.8% | +1.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +0.4% |
| 2017-10-18 beat | 1.12 | 1.20 | +7.3% | +4.3% | +3.8% | +0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2017-07-19 miss | 1.23 | 1.12 | -9.0% | -6.0% | -8.4% | -1.5% | -2.0% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 1.06 | 1.09 | +2.4% | +0.6% | +1.3% | -1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2017-01-18 miss | 1.13 | 1.11 | -1.4% | -5.2% | -4.7% | +0.1% | +4.0% |
| 2016-10-19 miss | 1.09 | 1.08 | -0.7% | -1.4% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +14.6% |
| 2016-07-20 beat | 1.05 | 1.09 | +3.4% | +1.0% | -1.0% | +3.0% | +2.7% |
| 2016-04-19 beat | 0.94 | 1.01 | +6.9% | +1.1% | +5.2% | +0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2016-01-20 beat | 0.91 | 0.99 | +9.3% | -1.5% | -3.9% | -2.6% | -3.3% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 0.96 | 0.96 | +0.3% | -2.2% | -4.3% | +7.3% | +13.3% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 0.96 | 1.10 | +14.2% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -1.6% | -3.8% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +7.8% | +3.1% | +2.4% | +2.3% | +5.9% |
| 2015-01-21 beat | 0.80 | 0.98 | +21.8% | +7.9% | +6.2% | -2.2% | +5.7% |
| 2014-10-22 miss | 0.87 | 0.84 | -3.8% | -5.2% | -5.5% | +5.2% | +10.4% |
| 2014-07-16 miss | 0.84 | 0.75 | -10.7% | +0.7% | +0.0% | +3.0% | +3.9% |
| 2014-04-15 miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -3.5% | -4.6% | -2.6% | +2.0% | +0.0% |
| 2014-01-22 miss | 0.76 | 0.70 | -7.5% | +1.9% | +3.3% | -3.1% | -1.1% |
| 2013-10-16 beat | 0.81 | 0.84 | +3.7% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +3.9% |
| 2013-07-17 miss | 0.83 | 0.78 | -5.5% | -2.3% | -2.2% | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| 2013-04-16 miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -6.0% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -1.0% | +6.9% |
| 2013-01-16 miss | 0.75 | 0.69 | -7.9% | -4.7% | -5.7% | +2.2% | +7.4% |
| 2012-10-17 miss | 0.74 | 0.73 | -1.4% | +0.5% | +1.4% | -2.3% | -1.8% |
| 2012-07-18 miss | 0.75 | 0.73 | -2.4% | -2.3% | -1.8% | -3.6% | +2.0% |
| 2012-04-17 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.4% | -0.1% | +1.5% | -1.0% | -6.2% |
| 2012-01-18 miss | 0.67 | 0.53 | -21.4% | -1.0% | -1.7% | +2.5% | +6.4% |
| 2011-10-19 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +0.9% | +0.7% | -2.2% | +5.1% | -2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.