NVO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | -1.8% | 4.1% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 5.0% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +2.2% | +1.4% | 3.4% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +1.4% | 4.0% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 4.98 | 6.18 | +24.0% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +6.7% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 6.96 | 6.63 | -4.8% | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.9% | -6.1% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 5.90 | 6.04 | +2.3% | -4.7% | -6.2% | +3.3% | -18.2% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 4.24 | 4.50 | +6.0% | -2.6% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 6.00 | 5.96 | -0.7% | -2.6% | -3.9% | +12.2% | +21.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 6.07 | 6.53 | +7.5% | +4.6% | +1.9% | -4.6% | +10.5% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 5.97 | 6.34 | +6.2% | +4.6% | +3.8% | -4.6% | +1.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 5.92 | 6.12 | +3.4% | -1.7% | -4.3% | +1.5% | +5.1% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 4.91 | 4.49 | -8.6% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +12.7% | +10.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 5.42 | 5.68 | +4.9% | -1.0% | -4.0% | +3.7% | +9.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.