NVO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -0.3% | 5.1% | 44% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 3.0% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.3% | 2.6% | 44% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +1.1% | 6.2% | 62% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 4.98 | 6.18 | +24.0% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +6.7% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 6.96 | 6.63 | -4.8% | +3.2% | +2.0% | +2.9% | -6.1% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 5.90 | 6.04 | +2.3% | -4.7% | -6.2% | +3.3% | -18.2% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 4.24 | 4.50 | +6.0% | -2.6% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 6.00 | 5.96 | -0.7% | -2.6% | -3.9% | +12.2% | +21.7% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 6.07 | 6.53 | +7.5% | +4.6% | +1.9% | -4.6% | +10.5% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 5.97 | 6.34 | +6.2% | +4.6% | +3.8% | -4.6% | +1.7% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 5.92 | 6.12 | +3.4% | -1.7% | -4.3% | +1.5% | +5.1% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 4.91 | 4.49 | -8.6% | -5.7% | -8.4% | +12.7% | +10.0% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 5.42 | 5.68 | +4.9% | -1.0% | -4.0% | +3.7% | +9.4% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 4.45 | 4.91 | +10.3% | +2.9% | +5.2% | +3.4% | +8.3% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 4.71 | 5.00 | +6.2% | +3.7% | +3.3% | -0.9% | +0.0% |
| 2023-08-09 miss | 4.50 | 4.32 | -4.0% | -1.4% | -2.9% | +1.4% | +9.6% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 4.02 | 4.39 | +9.1% | -3.7% | -4.4% | +5.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-01 miss | 3.13 | 3.01 | -3.8% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +4.2% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 3.12 | 3.17 | +1.7% | +4.8% | +6.4% | +0.8% | +12.1% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 3.03 | 2.93 | -3.4% | -0.5% | -12.7% | +7.6% | +4.6% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 2.89 | 3.11 | +7.5% | +3.9% | +3.5% | -2.3% | -3.2% |
| 2022-02-01 beat | 2.36 | 2.38 | +1.0% | +3.6% | +3.9% | -0.6% | -2.3% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | 2.55 | 2.64 | +3.2% | +1.6% | +5.0% | -2.5% | -7.3% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 2.38 | 2.63 | +10.4% | +0.5% | +5.5% | +2.6% | +3.5% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 2.57 | 2.73 | +6.0% | -0.2% | -0.1% | +5.4% | +9.3% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 1.96 | 2.01 | +2.2% | +2.8% | +2.0% | -1.7% | -3.9% |
| 2020-10-30 miss | 2.22 | 2.21 | -0.5% | -2.1% | -3.7% | +10.1% | +5.7% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 2.21 | 2.27 | +2.4% | -1.8% | -2.2% | +5.0% | +2.2% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 2.34 | 2.53 | +8.0% | -0.6% | -1.8% | +2.0% | +4.0% |
| 2020-02-05 miss | 1.88 | 1.85 | -1.7% | +3.4% | +4.6% | -1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2019-11-01 beat | 2.09 | 2.15 | +2.9% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +2.5% | +0.1% |
| 2019-08-09 beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +1.7% | -0.6% | -0.8% | +2.8% | -1.3% |
| 2019-05-03 beat | 2.06 | 2.18 | +5.6% | -2.5% | -2.8% | +1.7% | +1.4% |
| 2019-02-01 miss | 1.87 | 1.77 | -5.8% | +3.7% | +3.4% | +0.6% | +2.2% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 1.97 | 1.87 | -4.9% | +1.2% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +5.0% |
| 2018-08-08 beat | 2.09 | 2.13 | +1.9% | -5.7% | -6.2% | +1.1% | +1.8% |
| 2018-02-01 miss | 1.73 | 1.68 | -3.0% | -6.0% | -6.5% | -6.5% | -2.0% |
| 2017-11-01 beat | 1.94 | 2.02 | +4.2% | -0.7% | -0.2% | +1.2% | +4.6% |
| 2017-08-09 miss | 1.89 | 1.87 | -0.9% | +6.8% | +8.3% | +4.1% | +7.6% |
| 2017-05-03 beat | 1.83 | 2.03 | +10.9% | +6.4% | +5.6% | -1.8% | +7.0% |
| 2017-02-02 miss | 1.81 | 1.73 | -4.2% | -8.6% | -8.7% | +3.0% | +1.3% |
| 2016-10-28 beat | 1.91 | 1.94 | +1.5% | -13.7% | -12.9% | -3.7% | -8.2% |
| 2016-08-05 beat | 1.94 | 1.96 | +1.1% | -10.0% | -9.7% | -7.4% | -7.8% |
| 2016-04-29 beat | 1.80 | 1.86 | +2.8% | +1.3% | -0.4% | -4.4% | +0.4% |
| 2016-02-03 beat | 1.62 | 1.62 | +0.3% | -4.5% | -6.1% | -7.3% | +9.8% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 1.59 | 1.63 | +2.8% | -5.9% | -6.7% | +4.2% | +3.6% |
| 2010-04-28 beat | 0.52 | 0.56 | +7.2% | +0.6% | -0.3% | +3.5% | -2.0% |
| 2010-02-02 miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -5.8% | -2.0% | -1.3% | +0.8% | +5.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.