NVT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.0% | +4.6% | 7.0% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +1.7% | 1.6% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +1.1% | 2.3% | 60% |
| 5-day | +7.7% | +6.3% | 6.0% | 90% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 1.16 | 1.45 | +24.6% | +13.2% | +6.2% | +7.1% | -2.0% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.94 | 1.09 | +15.7% | +15.0% | +11.2% | +6.9% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 0.90 | 0.90 | +0.3% | -5.6% | -1.1% | +0.5% | -3.1% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +2.9% | +8.3% | +9.6% | -2.9% | -7.9% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 0.79 | 0.86 | +9.0% | +12.8% | +14.6% | -1.3% | -0.4% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +0.8% | +6.2% | +5.7% | +3.1% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +3.5% | +2.3% | -18.6% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 0.81 | 0.63 | -22.4% | -3.6% | -8.4% | +12.7% | +14.5% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.6% | -9.8% | -2.5% | +4.0% | +1.8% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.4% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +5.5% | +3.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.