NVT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +1.0% | 5.3% | 59% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +1.0% | 2.4% | 62% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.5% | +3.8% | 6.8% | 74% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 1.16 | 1.45 | +24.6% | +13.2% | +6.2% | +7.1% | -2.0% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.94 | 1.09 | +15.7% | +15.0% | +11.2% | +6.9% | +9.1% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 0.90 | 0.90 | +0.3% | -5.6% | -1.1% | +0.5% | -3.1% |
| 2025-10-31 beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +2.9% | +8.3% | +9.6% | -2.9% | -7.9% |
| 2025-08-01 beat | 0.79 | 0.86 | +9.0% | +12.8% | +14.6% | -1.3% | -0.4% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +0.8% | +6.2% | +5.7% | +3.1% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.4% | +0.1% | +3.5% | +2.3% | -18.6% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 0.81 | 0.63 | -22.4% | -3.6% | -8.4% | +12.7% | +14.5% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.6% | -9.8% | -2.5% | +4.0% | +1.8% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +5.4% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +5.5% | +3.9% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +4.5% | +0.7% | -1.9% | +0.6% | +12.9% |
| 2023-10-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.84 | +14.5% | +0.6% | -2.0% | +8.8% | +14.5% |
| 2023-07-28 beat | 0.68 | 0.77 | +12.5% | +1.8% | +1.7% | +2.2% | +1.4% |
| 2023-04-28 | 0.67 | 0.67 | — | +1.0% | +1.7% | -2.9% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 0.58 | 0.66 | +13.2% | +5.3% | +7.4% | +4.9% | +3.5% |
| 2022-10-28 miss | 0.60 | 0.42 | -30.4% | +1.0% | -0.2% | +4.1% | +9.6% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | 0.54 | 0.58 | +7.4% | +0.5% | +1.5% | -2.8% | -7.2% |
| 2022-04-29 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.2% | -1.2% | -2.0% | +1.9% | +4.8% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.5% | -0.7% | +0.6% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.48 | 0.53 | +9.7% | +6.2% | +6.7% | +6.7% | +4.1% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.40 | 0.50 | +24.6% | +2.8% | +6.6% | -1.3% | +1.0% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.35 | 0.43 | +22.4% | -0.7% | -0.5% | +4.3% | +8.0% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +2.4% | -1.5% | -2.9% | +4.8% | +21.7% |
| 2020-10-30 beat | 0.40 | 0.45 | +11.3% | +1.4% | +3.6% | +8.8% | +23.7% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.25 | 0.29 | +18.4% | +2.5% | -1.6% | +3.6% | +5.3% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -8.1% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -3.6% | +0.6% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.47 | +6.8% | +2.1% | +6.1% | +2.6% | -16.1% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +4.3% | +2.4% | +6.4% | +1.7% | +6.2% |
| 2019-08-01 miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.9% | -2.4% | -8.9% | -5.2% | -10.3% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.4% | -1.7% | -2.8% | -1.0% | -13.0% |
| 2019-01-31 miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -1.3% | -0.4% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +10.0% |
| 2018-10-25 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.4% | +1.8% | +10.9% | +5.5% | +8.9% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +5.8% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +0.1% | +2.9% |
| 2018-05-08 miss | 0.39 | 0.29 | -25.6% | -1.0% | -0.6% | +2.0% | +12.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.