NWSA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.8% | 5.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 2.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.9% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.2% | 5.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.35 | +51.2% | +3.0% | +2.1% | -2.5% | +2.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +5.5% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -4.1% | +0.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +6.9% | -0.8% | -7.1% | +1.0% | +6.8% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +16.8% | +1.1% | +6.5% | -2.1% | -2.9% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.6% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +27.5% | +1.1% | -1.5% | +0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +5.7% | +2.0% | -1.0% | +3.5% | -4.0% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.21 | +40.0% | -1.0% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -1.6% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +6.2% | +1.2% | +3.6% | -1.2% | -4.9% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -12.0% | -4.1% | +2.7% | +6.1% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +23.8% | +10.8% | +6.5% | +2.6% | +2.5% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +71.4% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +100.0% | +1.6% | +4.6% | -2.3% | -2.0% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +125.0% | +9.0% | +8.5% | +2.3% | +6.9% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -22.2% | -4.6% | -9.4% | +1.8% | -14.7% |
| 2022-11-08 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.7% | -11.9% | -5.4% | +10.8% | +11.7% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.08 | 0.37 | +344.0% | +8.6% | +5.2% | +1.8% | -8.0% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +9.1% | -3.0% | -13.3% | +4.3% | +2.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.30 | 0.44 | +45.1% | +2.9% | +0.2% | +0.7% | -9.6% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +53.3% | +10.2% | +3.8% | -2.3% | -9.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.