NWSA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +0.8% | 5.7% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.3% | 51% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +0.9% | 6.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.35 | +51.2% | +3.0% | +2.1% | -2.5% | +2.4% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +5.5% | -0.9% | -0.1% | -4.1% | +0.7% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +6.9% | -0.8% | -7.1% | +1.0% | +6.8% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +16.8% | +1.1% | +6.5% | -2.1% | -2.9% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.18 | 0.19 | +5.6% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +27.5% | +1.1% | -1.5% | +0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +5.7% | +2.0% | -1.0% | +3.5% | -4.0% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.21 | +40.0% | -1.0% | +1.2% | -3.0% | -1.6% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +6.2% | +1.2% | +3.6% | -1.2% | -4.9% |
| 2024-05-08 miss | 0.13 | 0.11 | -12.0% | -4.1% | +2.7% | +6.1% | +9.8% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.21 | 0.26 | +23.8% | +10.8% | +6.5% | +2.6% | +2.5% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +71.4% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -1.0% | +3.7% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.07 | 0.14 | +100.0% | +1.6% | +4.6% | -2.3% | -2.0% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +125.0% | +9.0% | +8.5% | +2.3% | +6.9% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.18 | 0.14 | -22.2% | -4.6% | -9.4% | +1.8% | -14.7% |
| 2022-11-08 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -7.7% | -11.9% | -5.4% | +10.8% | +11.7% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.08 | 0.37 | +344.0% | +8.6% | +5.2% | +1.8% | -8.0% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +9.1% | -3.0% | -13.3% | +4.3% | +2.7% |
| 2022-02-03 beat | 0.30 | 0.44 | +45.1% | +2.9% | +0.2% | +0.7% | -9.6% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 0.15 | 0.23 | +53.3% | +10.2% | +3.8% | -2.3% | -9.8% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.06 | 0.16 | +184.0% | +4.8% | -0.5% | -4.9% | -10.2% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.05 | 0.09 | +91.0% | +2.3% | +5.5% | -2.7% | -3.5% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.09 | 0.34 | +271.9% | +8.3% | +4.5% | +11.8% | +17.1% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.02 | 0.08 | +512.4% | +11.9% | +8.3% | +12.0% | +21.2% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +66.6% | -0.5% | +6.1% | +6.9% | +2.1% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.04 | 0.03 | -14.4% | +9.9% | +13.3% | -0.5% | +17.8% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 0.15 | 0.18 | +21.4% | -3.5% | -1.9% | +2.9% | -23.9% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -6.5% | -0.5% | -3.2% | +0.7% | +2.4% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +140.3% | -0.9% | +5.1% | +0.4% | +5.9% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +227.9% | +0.9% | +4.1% | -4.1% | -0.8% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | 0.12 | 0.18 | +47.0% | -0.3% | -2.0% | +2.3% | +3.3% |
| 2018-11-07 beat | 0.04 | 0.17 | +366.4% | +4.2% | +5.3% | -4.0% | -11.9% |
| 2018-08-09 beat | 0.06 | 0.08 | +36.5% | -0.6% | -13.5% | +5.3% | -5.1% |
| 2018-05-10 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +9.3% | -3.0% | -8.5% | +3.0% | +5.4% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.19 | 0.24 | +25.4% | +0.9% | +0.8% | +3.1% | +3.8% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +224.4% | +2.1% | +5.2% | +4.9% | +7.4% |
| 2017-08-10 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +14.4% | +0.6% | -1.8% | -1.2% | -1.3% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +73.7% | -6.2% | -3.1% | -0.4% | +7.4% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +1.9% | +0.9% | +7.3% | -1.6% | -6.7% |
| 2016-11-07 miss | — | -0.01 | -174.0% | -8.8% | -4.7% | +3.1% | +2.3% |
| 2016-08-08 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -18.1% | -0.3% | +3.7% | +2.7% | +3.7% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 0.04 | 0.04 | -1.7% | -2.8% | +4.4% | -8.3% | -6.5% |
| 2016-02-04 miss | 0.21 | 0.20 | -2.5% | -6.4% | -9.1% | -3.2% | -1.6% |
| 2015-11-05 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -10.6% | +1.6% | -3.1% | -7.4% | -9.3% |
| 2015-08-12 beat | 0.05 | 0.07 | +34.5% | +7.9% | +7.6% | -6.1% | -15.7% |
| 2015-05-05 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -26.9% | -6.1% | -6.4% | +1.8% | +0.1% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +11.7% | +2.4% | +3.4% | +3.9% | -0.2% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.02 | 0.09 | +413.1% | +3.5% | +0.2% | -2.2% | +1.1% |
| 2014-08-07 miss | 0.04 | 0.01 | -71.9% | -5.5% | -1.5% | +0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.02 | 0.11 | +365.1% | +2.3% | +5.2% | -5.3% | -2.2% |
| 2014-02-06 beat | 0.21 | 0.31 | +46.5% | +9.1% | +8.7% | +1.6% | +1.7% |
| 2013-11-11 miss | 0.03 | 0.03 | -12.2% | -3.3% | -1.5% | +1.9% | +2.0% |
| 2013-09-20 beat | 0.14 | 0.66 | +379.3% | -0.1% | -0.7% | -2.8% | +2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.