O chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.8% | 1.7% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 1.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 0.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -0.9% | 2.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.42 | 0.37 | -12.7% | +2.6% | -0.5% | +0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 0.42 | 0.34 | -17.7% | -0.6% | -3.5% | +0.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 0.41 | 0.33 | -18.5% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2025-11-03 miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -10.8% | -0.7% | -3.5% | +1.8% | +3.7% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.40 | 0.22 | -45.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +3.5% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.33 | 0.28 | -15.0% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -3.0% | -1.7% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 0.39 | 0.22 | -44.4% | -2.8% | -1.9% | +2.7% | +0.6% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 0.34 | 0.31 | -8.5% | -0.5% | -0.8% | -3.1% | -4.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.38 | 0.30 | -22.5% | -0.5% | +2.1% | -0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | 0.43 | 0.26 | -40.4% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -1.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.