O chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 52% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.1% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.4% | 3.4% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.42 | 0.37 | -12.7% | +2.6% | -0.5% | +0.9% | -1.8% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 0.42 | 0.34 | -17.7% | -0.6% | -3.5% | +0.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-24 miss | 0.41 | 0.33 | -18.5% | -0.8% | -0.8% | +0.0% | -8.7% |
| 2025-11-03 miss | 0.40 | 0.36 | -10.8% | -0.7% | -3.5% | +1.8% | +3.7% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.40 | 0.22 | -45.1% | +0.1% | +0.3% | +1.3% | +3.5% |
| 2025-05-05 miss | 0.33 | 0.28 | -15.0% | -0.1% | -0.3% | -3.0% | -1.7% |
| 2025-02-24 miss | 0.39 | 0.22 | -44.4% | -2.8% | -1.9% | +2.7% | +0.6% |
| 2024-11-04 miss | 0.34 | 0.31 | -8.5% | -0.5% | -0.8% | -3.1% | -4.7% |
| 2024-08-05 miss | 0.38 | 0.30 | -22.5% | -0.5% | +2.1% | -0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | 0.43 | 0.26 | -40.4% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2024-02-20 miss | 0.33 | 0.31 | -5.6% | +1.0% | +0.4% | -1.3% | -0.4% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +4.1% | +0.8% | +0.5% | +2.8% | +7.9% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.35 | 0.29 | -17.1% | -0.5% | -2.5% | -0.1% | -4.5% |
| 2023-05-03 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.6% | +0.3% | +1.6% | -0.2% | -3.1% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +12.1% | +0.9% | +0.5% | -3.1% | -9.5% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.30 | 0.36 | +18.9% | -1.1% | +0.9% | +6.1% | +1.0% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.46 | 0.37 | -18.3% | +1.5% | +0.7% | +1.9% | -6.6% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 0.43 | 0.35 | -20.0% | +0.7% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -0.2% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 0.42 | 0.12 | -72.5% | +1.6% | -1.2% | +1.3% | +2.3% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 0.38 | 0.38 | +0.5% | +0.4% | +1.6% | -1.4% | -3.2% |
| 2021-08-02 miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -1.0% | +0.5% | +0.7% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2021-05-03 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -13.2% | +0.2% | +0.6% | -4.2% | +1.6% |
| 2021-02-22 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -5.6% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -3.2% | +1.4% |
| 2020-11-02 miss | 0.35 | 0.07 | -80.1% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +9.1% | +3.1% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +8.3% | +2.5% | +4.1% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.44 | +21.3% | +3.0% | +2.8% | -0.7% | +15.5% |
| 2020-02-19 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +9.3% | +5.8% | +2.8% | -11.0% | -42.1% |
| 2019-11-04 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.1% | -0.8% | -2.4% | -3.2% | -3.3% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 0.35 | 0.31 | -11.4% | -0.8% | +1.3% | +3.5% | +7.3% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.35 | 0.37 | +6.4% | +0.5% | +0.3% | -4.1% | +1.6% |
| 2019-02-20 beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +17.9% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +4.4% |
| 2018-10-31 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.7% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.1% | -0.2% | +1.7% | +0.1% | +2.9% |
| 2018-05-08 miss | 0.33 | 0.29 | -12.5% | -0.7% | +0.8% | -1.8% | +0.8% |
| 2018-02-21 beat | 0.32 | 0.36 | +12.4% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2017-10-25 beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +3.1% | +0.5% | -1.9% | +2.8% | +5.2% |
| 2017-07-26 miss | 0.32 | 0.30 | -4.9% | -0.2% | +0.1% | -1.6% | +0.2% |
| 2017-04-25 miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -7.7% | +0.1% | -1.0% | -2.3% | -6.9% |
| 2017-02-22 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +11.0% | +0.9% | +2.8% | -3.7% | -5.4% |
| 2016-10-26 miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -7.6% | -0.1% | -3.6% | -4.3% | -4.7% |
| 2016-07-27 miss | 0.29 | 0.27 | -6.5% | -0.1% | +1.6% | -1.6% | -7.0% |
| 2016-04-26 miss | 0.28 | 0.25 | -10.1% | +0.6% | -0.3% | +4.9% | +0.8% |
| 2016-02-10 beat | 0.26 | 0.32 | +22.2% | -0.1% | +5.9% | +0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2015-10-28 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +1.4% | -3.0% | -1.8% | +0.6% | -0.1% |
| 2015-07-29 beat | 0.25 | 0.26 | +6.8% | -0.7% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -3.5% |
| 2015-04-29 beat | 0.23 | 0.28 | +18.7% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -1.0% | -2.3% |
| 2015-02-17 beat | 0.23 | 0.32 | +42.0% | +0.0% | +1.7% | -2.9% | -0.8% |
| 2014-10-29 miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -8.3% | -0.8% | +1.3% | +0.7% | -0.1% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.23 | 0.23 | -0.6% | +0.5% | -1.3% | -3.7% | +0.8% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +5.7% | +0.4% | -0.6% | +1.8% | +0.6% |
| 2014-02-13 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -9.6% | +0.0% | +0.7% | +4.7% | +2.3% |
| 2013-10-31 miss | 0.21 | 0.18 | -15.9% | -0.1% | -2.3% | -0.7% | -9.1% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.5% | +0.2% | -0.1% | -3.5% | -8.3% |
| 2013-04-25 miss | 0.22 | 0.20 | -9.2% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +3.2% | +0.3% |
| 2013-02-14 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -3.9% | -0.5% | -0.6% | +0.4% | +0.3% |
| 2012-10-25 miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -17.7% | +0.1% | -1.4% | -2.2% | -2.2% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 0.25 | 0.22 | -11.3% | +0.8% | -1.8% | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 0.26 | 0.19 | -28.2% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -2.1% |
| 2012-02-09 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -1.6% | +0.1% | -0.6% | -1.2% | +0.7% |
| 2011-10-27 miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -6.0% | +1.7% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.