OC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -1.5% | 4.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -1.0% | 2.5% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 2.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.6% | -1.7% | 8.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 3.10 | 3.93 | +26.9% | +2.3% | +4.8% | +2.3% | -11.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.96 | 1.22 | +26.5% | +2.6% | +0.1% | -3.6% | -3.1% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 1.36 | 1.10 | -18.8% | +1.5% | -2.5% | -5.4% | -12.9% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 3.72 | 3.67 | -1.2% | -7.2% | -9.5% | -7.2% | +2.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 3.82 | 4.21 | +10.3% | +3.0% | +4.9% | +5.2% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 2.87 | 2.97 | +3.4% | -2.1% | -8.6% | +9.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 2.91 | 3.22 | +10.7% | -2.7% | -1.6% | -8.8% | -8.3% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 4.05 | 4.38 | +8.1% | -4.4% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +9.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 4.35 | 4.64 | +6.8% | -5.6% | -4.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 3.09 | 3.59 | +16.1% | -2.2% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.