OC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.5% | 5.2% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | -0.2% | 2.9% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | -0.1% | 6.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 3.10 | 3.93 | +26.9% | +2.3% | +4.8% | +2.3% | -11.6% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.96 | 1.22 | +26.5% | +2.6% | +0.1% | -3.6% | -3.1% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 1.36 | 1.10 | -18.8% | +1.5% | -2.5% | -5.4% | -12.9% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 3.72 | 3.67 | -1.2% | -7.2% | -9.5% | -7.2% | +2.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 3.82 | 4.21 | +10.3% | +3.0% | +4.9% | +5.2% | +5.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 2.87 | 2.97 | +3.4% | -2.1% | -8.6% | +9.0% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 2.91 | 3.22 | +10.7% | -2.7% | -1.6% | -8.8% | -8.3% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 4.05 | 4.38 | +8.1% | -4.4% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +9.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 4.35 | 4.64 | +6.8% | -5.6% | -4.1% | +1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 3.09 | 3.59 | +16.1% | -2.2% | -1.4% | +1.7% | +6.9% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 2.86 | 3.21 | +12.1% | +2.0% | -2.7% | +1.1% | +11.7% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 3.86 | 4.15 | +7.4% | -10.1% | -10.3% | +4.7% | +20.3% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 3.25 | 3.85 | +18.6% | +1.6% | +5.9% | +2.5% | -1.1% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 2.22 | 2.77 | +24.9% | +2.1% | -1.4% | +7.9% | +10.8% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 2.35 | 2.49 | +6.0% | +1.1% | +0.1% | -5.2% | -13.2% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 3.19 | 3.57 | +11.8% | -0.5% | -4.7% | -3.3% | +6.8% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 3.33 | 3.83 | +14.9% | +2.3% | +2.1% | +4.6% | +6.0% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 2.44 | 2.84 | +16.6% | +3.2% | +4.0% | +9.1% | +6.3% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 1.91 | 2.20 | +15.2% | +2.1% | +9.2% | -10.1% | -2.6% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 2.45 | 2.52 | +2.8% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +2.6% | -3.2% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 2.14 | 2.60 | +21.5% | +1.7% | +2.2% | +1.3% | +2.4% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | 1.43 | 1.73 | +20.7% | +0.0% | -2.3% | +7.2% | +12.3% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 1.37 | 1.90 | +38.7% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -0.3% | +8.9% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 1.31 | 1.70 | +29.9% | -1.5% | -5.4% | +7.6% | +14.1% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.28 | 0.88 | +216.8% | +1.4% | +2.3% | +3.0% | +10.2% |
| 2020-04-29 beat | 0.53 | 0.60 | +13.9% | +9.5% | +11.8% | -8.3% | +17.1% |
| 2020-02-19 miss | 1.13 | 1.13 | -0.1% | +2.6% | +4.2% | -13.4% | -47.0% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.50 | 1.63 | +8.6% | +1.9% | -3.0% | -0.4% | +8.8% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 1.16 | 1.31 | +13.1% | +8.0% | +5.8% | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| 2019-04-24 miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -3.3% | -7.9% | -5.6% | -2.4% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.