ORI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -1.6% | 3.5% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 1.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | -1.0% | -1.5% | 5.2% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 0.79 | 0.76 | -4.2% | -2.4% | -0.7% | +5.0% | +0.6% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.79 | 1.32 | +68.2% | -1.5% | -5.2% | +0.1% | -1.4% |
| 2026-01-22 miss | 0.89 | 0.82 | -7.9% | -12.2% | -9.3% | -0.1% | +6.4% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.2% | +2.9% | -3.0% | -3.5% | +12.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.9% | +0.1% | -2.4% | +1.2% | +11.7% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.9% | -2.3% | +1.2% | -2.9% | -2.6% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.90 | +29.8% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.72 | 0.71 | -1.4% | -1.6% | -2.4% | +0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.76 | +19.4% | +1.8% | +2.1% | +5.8% | +8.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.5% | -5.4% | -0.9% | +2.1% | +4.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.