ORI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 4.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 2.2% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +1.0% | 5.0% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 miss | 0.79 | 0.76 | -4.2% | -2.4% | -0.7% | +5.0% | +0.6% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.79 | 1.32 | +68.2% | -1.5% | -5.2% | +0.1% | -1.4% |
| 2026-01-22 miss | 0.89 | 0.82 | -7.9% | -12.2% | -9.3% | -0.1% | +6.4% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.2% | +2.9% | -3.0% | -3.5% | +12.5% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.9% | +0.1% | -2.4% | +1.2% | +11.7% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.9% | -2.3% | +1.2% | -2.9% | -2.6% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.90 | +29.8% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 0.72 | 0.71 | -1.4% | -1.6% | -2.4% | +0.0% | +10.5% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.64 | 0.76 | +19.4% | +1.8% | +2.1% | +5.8% | +8.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.5% | -5.4% | -0.9% | +2.1% | +4.9% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 0.71 | 0.69 | -3.3% | +0.0% | -9.3% | +0.5% | +5.0% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.0% | -0.1% | +3.8% | +0.2% | +4.6% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.55 | 0.62 | +12.1% | +0.1% | -1.1% | +4.8% | +1.4% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.61 | +13.0% | -0.1% | +2.2% | -0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 0.56 | 0.80 | +44.1% | +1.2% | +7.6% | -0.6% | -1.0% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +12.4% | +0.8% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.61 | 0.69 | +14.1% | -0.2% | +0.4% | -2.2% | +4.9% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | 0.69 | 0.63 | -8.0% | -0.3% | -3.4% | -1.5% | +2.7% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 0.74 | 0.88 | +19.7% | +0.7% | +1.0% | +4.0% | +4.5% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.63 | 0.79 | +25.4% | +0.0% | +8.7% | -1.5% | -4.4% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.52 | 0.73 | +41.8% | +0.2% | -0.3% | +1.2% | +8.0% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.45 | 0.69 | +53.3% | -0.5% | -0.6% | +4.6% | +10.6% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.75 | +68.5% | +1.1% | +2.2% | +4.4% | +8.6% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 0.44 | 0.62 | +42.5% | +0.2% | +8.1% | -5.0% | +5.8% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +3.7% | +0.1% | -3.2% | -3.5% | -4.8% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 0.31 | 0.47 | +51.6% | +1.8% | -2.7% | +7.6% | +0.6% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 0.43 | 0.47 | +10.6% | +0.7% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +0.2% |
| 2019-10-24 | 0.51 | 0.51 | — | -0.5% | -4.0% | -2.7% | -2.9% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -5.3% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -0.8% | -0.3% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +5.3% | -0.7% | +0.0% | +4.8% | +6.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.