PAA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -2.8% | 1.6% | 10% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 1.8% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | +0.7% | 2.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 miss | 0.50 | 0.41 | -17.4% | -1.4% | -3.0% | +4.8% | +13.9% |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -7.4% | +1.5% | -1.7% | +5.4% | +3.5% |
| 2026-02-06 miss | 0.45 | 0.40 | -11.7% | -2.9% | -2.9% | +3.9% | +8.7% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.6% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +8.4% |
| 2025-08-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +8.7% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -1.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-09 miss | 0.45 | 0.39 | -12.9% | +0.2% | -3.0% | +4.9% | +7.5% |
| 2025-02-07 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.6% | +0.8% | -3.0% | +2.1% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +20.9% | +0.1% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.0% | -0.1% | -3.2% | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.6% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +0.9% | -3.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.