PAA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -0.4% | 4.6% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.3% | 6.4% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 miss | 0.50 | 0.41 | -17.4% | -1.4% | -3.0% | +4.8% | +13.9% |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -7.4% | +1.5% | -1.7% | +5.4% | +3.5% |
| 2026-02-06 miss | 0.45 | 0.40 | -11.7% | -2.9% | -2.9% | +3.9% | +8.7% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +3.6% | -0.7% | -0.4% | +0.9% | +8.4% |
| 2025-08-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +8.7% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -1.9% | -3.4% |
| 2025-05-09 miss | 0.45 | 0.39 | -12.9% | +0.2% | -3.0% | +4.9% | +7.5% |
| 2025-02-07 miss | 0.42 | 0.42 | -0.6% | +0.8% | -3.0% | +2.1% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +20.9% | +0.1% | -2.8% | -0.6% | +2.0% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | 0.32 | 0.31 | -4.0% | -0.1% | -3.2% | -0.8% | +1.1% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +4.6% | +0.0% | +1.5% | +0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2024-02-09 beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +19.0% | +1.6% | +0.3% | +4.7% | +8.8% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 0.23 | 0.35 | +51.2% | -0.3% | -0.4% | -3.6% | -2.0% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 0.20 | 0.25 | +26.9% | +0.8% | +1.4% | +2.2% | +2.7% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +14.8% | +1.6% | +5.3% | -2.2% | +5.4% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -4.5% | -0.3% | -1.6% | +5.4% | -1.7% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +15.1% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +0.0% | -2.0% |
| 2022-08-03 beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +47.4% | +2.2% | +1.2% | +5.0% | +7.5% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 0.36 | 0.31 | -12.8% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -6.6% | +7.6% |
| 2022-02-09 miss | 0.27 | 0.25 | -5.7% | -4.0% | -9.1% | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -3.2% | +0.0% | -0.6% | +1.0% | -11.9% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +1.5% | -4.2% | -3.0% | +3.6% | +1.6% |
| 2021-05-04 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -1.2% | -0.1% | +0.3% | +6.8% | +24.0% |
| 2021-02-09 miss | 0.35 | 0.29 | -16.9% | -6.8% | -9.6% | -2.5% | +15.4% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.33 | 0.46 | +41.4% | +4.6% | +1.1% | +14.9% | +37.0% |
| 2020-08-04 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -2.9% | +1.2% | -4.8% | +2.9% | -11.3% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +19.8% | -1.7% | -5.5% | +4.5% | +45.8% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 0.49 | 0.63 | +28.5% | +2.2% | +0.9% | -4.1% | -29.2% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.52 | +25.8% | +1.3% | -0.6% | -6.8% | -7.7% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 0.40 | 0.67 | +66.6% | -0.7% | +0.2% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.58 | 0.69 | +18.3% | +1.7% | +1.4% | +1.8% | -3.7% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 0.73 | 0.80 | +10.1% | +2.6% | +1.7% | +2.2% | +1.8% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 0.40 | 0.43 | +8.8% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -6.6% | -7.8% |
| 2018-08-07 beat | 0.23 | 0.38 | +65.7% | +3.4% | +6.7% | -1.6% | -5.5% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.2% | -7.3% | -0.9% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
| 2018-02-06 miss | 0.42 | 0.26 | -37.6% | -0.4% | +3.8% | +6.6% | +5.2% |
| 2017-11-06 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -2.5% | -0.8% | +3.4% | -6.8% | -8.1% |
| 2017-08-07 miss | 0.25 | 0.21 | -16.9% | -13.5% | -19.4% | -0.8% | +8.8% |
| 2017-05-08 miss | 0.35 | 0.27 | -22.8% | -5.0% | -5.4% | +2.3% | -6.1% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 0.55 | 0.37 | -33.3% | -3.6% | -2.8% | +1.7% | -0.1% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.32 | 0.39 | +20.6% | -3.4% | -4.8% | +7.9% | +9.6% |
| 2016-08-02 miss | 0.09 | -0.12 | -235.2% | +0.5% | +3.8% | +3.8% | +1.7% |
| 2016-05-04 beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +19.3% | +0.3% | +9.1% | +3.8% | +14.5% |
| 2016-02-08 miss | 0.45 | 0.38 | -15.9% | -5.8% | -10.6% | +23.9% | +44.0% |
| 2015-11-03 beat | 0.24 | 0.28 | +18.7% | -3.1% | -11.4% | -7.1% | -27.6% |
| 2015-08-04 miss | 0.27 | 0.27 | -0.7% | -1.7% | -10.6% | +2.3% | -2.1% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.54 | 0.57 | +4.8% | -0.7% | -2.8% | -1.8% | -6.3% |
| 2015-02-04 miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -0.2% | +2.3% | +1.5% | -1.6% | -9.0% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.9% | -0.6% | -3.5% | -0.2% | -8.0% |
| 2014-08-06 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.8% | +0.5% | +0.1% | +2.6% | +7.5% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.65 | 0.65 | +0.3% | -1.8% | -2.7% | -0.6% | +0.4% |
| 2014-02-05 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.8% | -0.6% | +0.7% | +4.3% | +2.6% |
| 2013-11-04 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.4% | -0.7% | +1.2% | -2.1% | -4.7% |
| 2013-08-05 miss | 0.62 | 0.56 | -9.2% | -3.4% | +1.8% | -1.6% | -8.7% |
| 2013-05-06 beat | 0.97 | 1.26 | +30.0% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +0.5% | -4.2% |
| 2013-02-06 beat | 0.76 | 1.01 | +33.5% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +4.3% | +4.2% |
| 2012-11-05 beat | 0.53 | 0.73 | +36.9% | +0.9% | +2.9% | -6.0% | -3.8% |
| 2012-08-06 miss | 0.84 | 0.82 | -2.2% | +0.7% | -1.0% | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2012-05-07 beat | 0.73 | 0.79 | +8.7% | -0.7% | -1.5% | +1.5% | -0.7% |
| 2012-02-08 beat | 0.80 | 0.83 | +2.8% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +3.5% | +1.3% |
| 2011-11-02 beat | 0.59 | 0.71 | +20.9% | +1.6% | +1.2% | -0.8% | +3.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.