PAGP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.7% | -2.1% | 1.5% | 10% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 1.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | +0.8% | 2.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -6.3% | -0.9% | -2.5% | +4.4% | +13.5% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | 0.67 | 1.12 | +65.8% | +0.2% | -1.9% | +5.9% | +5.0% |
| 2026-02-06 miss | 0.46 | 0.36 | -21.7% | -1.6% | -2.3% | +4.2% | +10.6% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.40 | 0.83 | +107.4% | -0.8% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +9.9% |
| 2025-08-08 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -1.0% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-05-09 miss | 0.48 | 0.23 | -51.9% | -0.1% | -2.7% | +3.8% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-07 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -3.2% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +1.4% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -0.2% | +4.4% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | 0.40 | 0.31 | -22.5% | -1.2% | -3.1% | +0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.1% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +0.3% | -2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.