PAGP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.2% | -1.1% | 6.0% | 35% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.2% | 2.5% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.2% | 2.3% | 54% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | +0.7% | 7.3% | 52% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 miss | 0.44 | 0.41 | -6.3% | -0.9% | -2.5% | +4.4% | +13.5% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | 0.67 | 1.12 | +65.8% | +0.2% | -1.9% | +5.9% | +5.0% |
| 2026-02-06 miss | 0.46 | 0.36 | -21.7% | -1.6% | -2.3% | +4.2% | +10.6% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.40 | 0.83 | +107.4% | -0.8% | -0.9% | +1.5% | +9.9% |
| 2025-08-08 miss | 0.41 | 0.41 | -1.0% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -3.8% |
| 2025-05-09 miss | 0.48 | 0.23 | -51.9% | -0.1% | -2.7% | +3.8% | +5.5% |
| 2025-02-07 miss | 0.48 | 0.46 | -3.2% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +1.4% | +0.4% | -2.9% | -0.2% | +4.4% |
| 2024-08-02 miss | 0.40 | 0.31 | -22.5% | -1.2% | -3.1% | +0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +5.1% | -0.1% | +1.9% | +0.3% | -2.9% |
| 2024-02-09 miss | 0.46 | 0.42 | -9.1% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +4.1% | +7.5% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +9.4% | -1.6% | -0.9% | -3.0% | -2.5% |
| 2023-08-04 miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -0.5% | +0.6% | +1.7% | +1.5% | +2.6% |
| 2023-05-05 beat | 0.27 | 0.35 | +28.9% | +2.0% | +5.4% | -1.8% | +5.5% |
| 2023-02-08 miss | 0.42 | 0.33 | -20.5% | +1.4% | -1.1% | +4.6% | -1.1% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.37 | 0.33 | -10.8% | -0.6% | +3.2% | -0.4% | -1.2% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.34 | 0.30 | -11.8% | +2.4% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +8.8% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 0.12 | -0.31 | -358.7% | -2.3% | -2.5% | -7.9% | +5.4% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +30.8% | -3.4% | -8.4% | -2.4% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-02 miss | 0.24 | 0.22 | -8.1% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +0.8% | -10.9% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 0.23 | 0.23 | -1.9% | -1.6% | -4.0% | +3.4% | +1.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +7.9% | -0.1% | -0.3% | +5.2% | +25.8% |
| 2021-02-09 miss | 0.29 | 0.12 | -57.4% | -4.9% | -9.0% | -2.9% | +15.3% |
| 2020-11-02 miss | 0.30 | 0.09 | -69.6% | +6.2% | +1.8% | +14.1% | +35.9% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.25 | +37.6% | -4.2% | -5.4% | +4.7% | -10.5% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.26 | 0.55 | +113.3% | +1.3% | -6.0% | +4.6% | +44.8% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 0.49 | 0.26 | -46.4% | +1.8% | +2.7% | -3.2% | -29.5% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 0.31 | 0.41 | +30.3% | +0.1% | -1.8% | -7.4% | -9.3% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 0.09 | 0.40 | +337.7% | -1.1% | -0.5% | -2.0% | -2.7% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.39 | 0.92 | +135.0% | +5.1% | +1.2% | +2.8% | -2.9% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 0.46 | 1.12 | +144.2% | +3.5% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +1.1% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 0.28 | 0.70 | +152.7% | +3.5% | +0.2% | -7.5% | -8.3% |
| 2018-08-07 miss | 0.28 | 0.05 | -82.3% | +4.9% | +5.1% | -1.0% | -5.3% |
| 2018-05-08 miss | 0.31 | 0.23 | -25.8% | -7.6% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -0.4% |
| 2018-02-06 miss | 0.36 | 0.15 | -59.3% | -1.4% | +3.9% | +5.6% | +1.9% |
| 2017-11-06 miss | 0.25 | 0.03 | -87.9% | +1.2% | +5.4% | -6.3% | -6.4% |
| 2017-08-07 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +11.7% | -18.7% | -18.5% | -1.1% | +8.2% |
| 2017-05-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +4.0% | -2.5% | -7.3% | +1.4% | -5.6% |
| 2017-02-07 miss | 0.64 | -0.08 | -112.6% | -1.9% | -3.0% | -0.2% | -3.0% |
| 2016-11-02 miss | 0.48 | 0.24 | -49.5% | -6.5% | -2.5% | +1.9% | +7.6% |
| 2016-08-02 miss | 0.42 | 0.40 | -3.9% | +2.4% | +5.4% | +3.6% | +4.9% |
| 2016-05-04 miss | 0.44 | 0.37 | -15.7% | -1.4% | +1.1% | +7.1% | +17.0% |
| 2016-02-08 miss | 0.46 | 0.29 | -36.9% | -1.1% | -16.5% | +28.4% | +39.5% |
| 2015-11-03 miss | 0.42 | 0.37 | -11.4% | -3.3% | -19.1% | -2.5% | -21.4% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +4.0% | -1.9% | -23.2% | +3.7% | +2.3% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.5% | -0.3% | -2.4% | +5.3% | +0.4% |
| 2015-02-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +1.6% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +0.3% | +0.5% |
| 2014-11-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.32 | +46.3% | -5.5% | -2.9% | +5.8% | -6.1% |
| 2014-08-06 miss | 0.30 | 0.29 | -3.4% | +1.4% | -1.0% | +7.0% | +9.0% |
| 2014-05-07 beat | 0.29 | 0.29 | +0.0% | +0.5% | -1.9% | -2.1% | +3.1% |
| 2014-02-05 miss | 0.34 | 0.27 | -20.6% | -0.8% | +0.3% | +5.5% | +7.1% |
| 2014-01-22 | 0.40 | 0.40 | — | -1.6% | +0.0% | -4.8% | +6.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.