PAM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -0.3% | 4.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.3% | 2.9% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +1.5% | 8.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 2.52 | 3.20 | +27.0% | -2.1% | -1.1% | -5.3% | +1.1% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.63 | 3.90 | +139.9% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -2.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 1.33 | 3.00 | +125.3% | -0.6% | -4.1% | +10.2% | +15.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.75 | 2.01 | +15.0% | +2.9% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.73 | 0.81 | -53.3% | -1.4% | -6.6% | -3.8% | -26.7% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.09 | 2.65 | +144.1% | +0.5% | +3.0% | +1.2% | -8.6% |
| 2025-03-05 beat | 0.44 | 1.94 | +343.4% | +2.2% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -12.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.83 | 2.58 | +41.1% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +9.2% | +26.6% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 1.67 | 1.77 | +6.1% | +2.4% | +10.4% | +8.2% | +18.4% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 1.38 | 4.65 | +237.0% | +0.9% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -12.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.