PAM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -0.2% | 4.4% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.6% | 3.7% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.6% | 3.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -1.1% | 7.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 2.52 | 3.20 | +27.0% | -2.1% | -1.1% | -5.3% | +1.1% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.63 | 3.90 | +139.9% | -1.7% | -1.1% | -2.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 1.33 | 3.00 | +125.3% | -0.6% | -4.1% | +10.2% | +15.8% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.75 | 2.01 | +15.0% | +2.9% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +3.5% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.73 | 0.81 | -53.3% | -1.4% | -6.6% | -3.8% | -26.7% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.09 | 2.65 | +144.1% | +0.5% | +3.0% | +1.2% | -8.6% |
| 2025-03-05 beat | 0.44 | 1.94 | +343.4% | +2.2% | +0.1% | +1.0% | -12.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 1.83 | 2.58 | +41.1% | +0.3% | +0.3% | +9.2% | +26.6% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 1.67 | 1.77 | +6.1% | +2.4% | +10.4% | +8.2% | +18.4% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 1.38 | 4.65 | +237.0% | +0.9% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -12.2% |
| 2024-03-06 miss | 1.93 | -1.85 | -196.0% | -4.4% | -6.1% | -0.4% | +17.2% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 1.73 | 2.66 | +53.6% | -3.5% | -1.2% | +0.0% | +30.7% |
| 2023-08-09 beat | 1.44 | 2.72 | +88.8% | +0.1% | +2.8% | +3.6% | -11.7% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 1.15 | 2.13 | +85.5% | +0.6% | +3.1% | -3.0% | +7.0% |
| 2023-03-09 beat | 0.78 | 2.03 | +159.8% | +0.5% | -7.3% | -4.0% | +16.8% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 1.22 | 2.73 | +123.5% | +3.2% | +4.4% | +2.9% | -0.5% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.9% | -2.8% | -0.4% | -0.7% | +6.5% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 0.99 | 1.59 | +60.4% | +2.7% | +3.7% | +0.1% | -6.4% |
| 2022-03-10 miss | 1.14 | 0.77 | -32.1% | -2.1% | -5.2% | -6.1% | +3.0% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | 1.66 | 2.36 | +42.2% | +1.9% | +1.3% | -3.9% | -5.3% |
| 2021-08-11 beat | 1.52 | 1.91 | +25.9% | -1.6% | +3.4% | -6.3% | +13.7% |
| 2021-05-12 miss | 0.99 | 0.59 | -40.6% | +0.7% | +6.1% | +0.2% | +14.4% |
| 2021-03-11 miss | 1.70 | 1.42 | -16.6% | -1.4% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -0.7% |
| 2020-11-11 beat | 1.15 | 1.29 | +12.2% | +0.4% | -5.7% | +0.4% | +9.1% |
| 2020-08-11 beat | -0.61 | 0.06 | +109.8% | +0.0% | -4.3% | +3.2% | +12.1% |
| 2020-05-12 beat | -0.69 | 0.18 | +125.4% | +2.3% | -7.1% | +6.0% | +4.3% |
| 2020-03-10 miss | 0.49 | 0.26 | -47.3% | -3.5% | -6.9% | -10.7% | -5.3% |
| 2019-11-11 beat | -0.54 | 1.57 | +389.8% | +0.4% | +1.3% | -2.8% | +4.0% |
| 2019-08-12 beat | 0.82 | 1.06 | +30.4% | +3.9% | +0.2% | +2.0% | -5.4% |
| 2019-05-10 beat | -1.01 | 1.89 | +286.8% | -1.2% | -4.1% | +3.9% | +51.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.