PATK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +1.5% | 3.7% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 2.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.9% | 2.2% | 65% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +1.5% | 5.4% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +4.4% | +3.5% | -3.0% | +3.0% | -0.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +2.5% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.73 | 0.84 | +15.4% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +0.5% | -17.3% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +9.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +4.6% | -3.0% | -3.8% | +4.0% | +15.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.96 | 1.11 | +15.2% | +8.7% | +6.0% | +2.2% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.3% | -1.1% | -2.7% | -0.4% | -7.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.6% | -1.1% | -6.0% | +0.6% | +7.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.37 | 1.44 | +5.5% | +2.5% | -1.8% | -4.9% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.87 | 1.19 | +36.6% | +4.8% | +6.0% | +4.2% | +3.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +10.9% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +5.2% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.19 | 1.21 | +1.6% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +9.6% | +16.3% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.21 | 1.36 | +12.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -5.8% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +14.2% | +1.6% | +6.1% | -5.8% | +3.3% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.03 | 1.12 | +9.2% | -2.5% | +0.4% | +2.1% | -8.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.35 | 1.62 | +19.9% | +10.0% | +5.4% | -7.2% | +11.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 2.48 | 3.19 | +28.7% | +0.1% | +3.3% | -6.2% | -7.0% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.87 | 3.03 | +61.6% | +4.7% | +5.0% | +6.6% | -6.7% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.32 | 1.75 | +32.2% | +0.5% | -2.1% | +0.7% | -7.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.35 | 1.63 | +21.0% | +9.0% | +3.6% | -1.4% | -0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.