PATK chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.7% | +1.1% | 6.7% | 56% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.7% | 2.8% | 36% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 3.0% | 64% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +1.0% | 7.8% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +4.4% | +3.5% | -3.0% | +3.0% | -0.6% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.04 | 1.10 | +5.5% | -0.3% | -0.3% | +2.5% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.73 | 0.84 | +15.4% | +1.5% | +4.4% | +0.5% | -17.3% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.93 | 1.01 | +9.0% | +0.1% | +2.0% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.43 | 1.50 | +4.6% | -3.0% | -3.8% | +4.0% | +15.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.96 | 1.11 | +15.2% | +8.7% | +6.0% | +2.2% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.53 | 0.52 | -1.3% | -1.1% | -2.7% | -0.4% | -7.6% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.19 | 1.20 | +0.6% | -1.1% | -6.0% | +0.6% | +7.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.37 | 1.44 | +5.5% | +2.5% | -1.8% | -4.9% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.87 | 1.19 | +36.6% | +4.8% | +6.0% | +4.2% | +3.0% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.90 | 0.99 | +10.9% | -0.9% | +1.9% | +5.2% | +6.1% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 1.19 | 1.21 | +1.6% | -1.7% | +1.1% | +9.6% | +16.3% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.21 | 1.36 | +12.2% | +0.8% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -5.8% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.79 | 0.90 | +14.2% | +1.6% | +6.1% | -5.8% | +3.3% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.03 | 1.12 | +9.2% | -2.5% | +0.4% | +2.1% | -8.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 1.35 | 1.62 | +19.9% | +10.0% | +5.4% | -7.2% | +11.9% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 2.48 | 3.19 | +28.7% | +0.1% | +3.3% | -6.2% | -7.0% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 1.87 | 3.03 | +61.6% | +4.7% | +5.0% | +6.6% | -6.7% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.32 | 1.75 | +32.2% | +0.5% | -2.1% | +0.7% | -7.2% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.35 | 1.63 | +21.0% | +9.0% | +3.6% | -1.4% | -0.1% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 1.22 | 1.68 | +37.9% | +0.4% | +4.2% | +0.9% | +4.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.88 | 1.36 | +55.1% | +1.6% | -4.9% | +4.5% | -6.9% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.95 | 1.09 | +14.7% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +3.5% | +16.1% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.84 | 1.08 | +29.2% | +7.1% | +1.3% | +9.8% | +9.4% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | -0.06 | 0.10 | +253.8% | -0.9% | -5.3% | -3.0% | -9.8% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.49 | 0.61 | +23.8% | +4.6% | -4.1% | -1.6% | +26.8% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +15.6% | +2.8% | +8.0% | -2.1% | -53.7% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +1.8% | -4.0% | -3.7% | +10.8% | +12.1% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +7.0% | +5.2% | -1.7% | -2.0% | -21.0% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.60 | +2.7% | -4.4% | -6.1% | -9.2% | -15.6% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | 0.50 | 0.64 | +28.3% | +6.7% | +5.8% | +5.6% | +3.5% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.71 | 0.77 | +8.5% | +3.1% | -4.2% | +2.6% | -9.9% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.82 | 0.95 | +15.6% | +6.6% | +10.0% | -5.4% | +2.3% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.80 | +26.1% | +7.1% | +12.0% | -6.8% | -0.9% |
| 2018-02-15 miss | 0.49 | 0.43 | -12.5% | +3.9% | +5.6% | -8.5% | -2.8% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.41 | 0.48 | +17.4% | +4.2% | +9.1% | +1.0% | +2.1% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.51 | 0.57 | +10.9% | +4.1% | -2.5% | -2.9% | -7.0% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.37 | 0.50 | +32.8% | +2.6% | +3.9% | -2.2% | -10.3% |
| 2017-02-16 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +1.7% | -0.5% | -3.9% | -2.2% | -12.5% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +5.3% | +1.4% | -3.6% | -2.7% | +20.8% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.44 | 0.49 | +11.2% | +2.5% | +2.0% | -4.4% | -4.7% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.31 | 0.35 | +14.7% | +1.4% | -4.6% | -3.1% | +14.1% |
| 2016-02-18 beat | 0.24 | 0.35 | +41.7% | +10.6% | +13.3% | +4.2% | +11.5% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +10.0% | -0.9% | -9.5% | -7.0% | -3.6% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +6.6% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +2.6% | +4.9% |
| 2015-04-30 beat | 0.22 | 0.26 | +18.2% | +4.4% | -2.0% | -0.7% | -0.4% |
| 2015-02-19 beat | 0.18 | 0.21 | +15.9% | +2.0% | +16.7% | -2.0% | +9.5% |
| 2014-10-30 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +3.7% | +2.3% | +0.4% | +9.9% | +6.9% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.9% | -0.2% | -1.1% | -8.9% | -9.0% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +8.5% | +1.5% | +1.3% | -1.7% | -11.5% |
| 2014-02-20 beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +56.7% | +6.2% | +17.5% | -4.4% | -7.9% |
| 2013-10-24 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -10.9% | -2.4% | +6.9% | -3.7% | -8.1% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.5% | +2.7% | +7.0% | -1.8% | +5.8% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +30.9% | +5.9% | +18.2% | +5.7% | +10.0% |
| 2013-02-21 miss | 0.18 | 0.09 | -51.6% | -6.0% | -16.7% | +15.1% | +27.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.