PAYC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +1.3% | 14.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 3.4% | 40% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -1.6% | 2.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | -1.7% | -4.0% | 14.9% | 35% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 2.38 | 2.78 | +16.8% | +21.8% | +23.6% | +3.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.99 | 3.15 | +5.4% | +3.7% | +9.6% | -3.5% | -2.0% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 2.45 | 2.45 | +0.1% | -10.0% | +0.9% | -4.2% | +3.1% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 1.97 | 1.94 | -1.6% | -4.0% | -10.7% | +0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.78 | 2.06 | +15.6% | +7.0% | +4.5% | -7.4% | -3.9% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 2.56 | 2.80 | +9.4% | +6.3% | +9.0% | +2.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 1.97 | 2.32 | +17.7% | +4.2% | +2.4% | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.61 | 1.67 | +3.7% | +10.1% | +21.4% | +8.7% | +11.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.2% | +4.3% | +0.4% | -4.8% | -2.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.46 | 2.59 | +5.5% | -3.4% | -10.5% | +4.1% | -12.9% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.78 | 1.93 | +8.5% | -5.1% | -1.6% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.60 | 1.77 | +10.3% | -37.7% | -38.5% | +11.2% | +23.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.3% | -10.3% | -19.2% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.36 | 2.46 | +4.2% | +0.8% | +1.7% | -7.0% | -0.1% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 1.49 | 1.73 | +16.3% | -4.2% | -6.8% | -0.4% | -14.9% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.18 | 1.27 | +7.6% | +0.1% | -7.7% | -5.4% | +7.4% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.12 | 1.26 | +12.4% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +7.1% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.75 | 1.90 | +8.6% | +6.1% | +13.8% | -18.9% | -9.0% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.08 | 1.11 | +2.5% | +9.3% | +8.9% | -5.6% | -16.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +1.9% | -2.9% | -7.4% | -4.0% | -18.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.