PAYC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +3.3% | 11.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 3.0% | 48% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 48% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +1.1% | 13.2% | 54% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 2.38 | 2.78 | +16.8% | +21.8% | +23.6% | +3.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.99 | 3.15 | +5.4% | +3.7% | +9.6% | -3.5% | -2.0% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 2.45 | 2.45 | +0.1% | -10.0% | +0.9% | -4.2% | +3.1% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 1.97 | 1.94 | -1.6% | -4.0% | -10.7% | +0.4% | +0.0% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 1.78 | 2.06 | +15.6% | +7.0% | +4.5% | -7.4% | -3.9% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 2.56 | 2.80 | +9.4% | +6.3% | +9.0% | +2.9% | +3.6% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 1.97 | 2.32 | +17.7% | +4.2% | +2.4% | +0.5% | +1.9% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.61 | 1.67 | +3.7% | +10.1% | +21.4% | +8.7% | +11.2% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.2% | +4.3% | +0.4% | -4.8% | -2.7% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.46 | 2.59 | +5.5% | -3.4% | -10.5% | +4.1% | -12.9% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.78 | 1.93 | +8.5% | -5.1% | -1.6% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.60 | 1.77 | +10.3% | -37.7% | -38.5% | +11.2% | +23.3% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 1.60 | 1.62 | +1.3% | -10.3% | -19.2% | -4.3% | -1.6% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 2.36 | 2.46 | +4.2% | +0.8% | +1.7% | -7.0% | -0.1% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 1.49 | 1.73 | +16.3% | -4.2% | -6.8% | -0.4% | -14.9% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.18 | 1.27 | +7.6% | +0.1% | -7.7% | -5.4% | +7.4% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.12 | 1.26 | +12.4% | +3.0% | +4.3% | +7.1% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 1.75 | 1.90 | +8.6% | +6.1% | +13.8% | -18.9% | -9.0% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 1.08 | 1.11 | +2.5% | +9.3% | +8.9% | -5.6% | -16.9% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +1.9% | -2.9% | -7.4% | -4.0% | -18.4% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.84 | 0.97 | +15.6% | +8.7% | +10.7% | +4.7% | +13.1% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.42 | 1.47 | +3.8% | +0.1% | -3.7% | -10.4% | -5.5% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +5.7% | +0.9% | -4.3% | -1.8% | -3.3% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.56 | 0.70 | +25.8% | -0.9% | -6.1% | +1.8% | +17.1% |
| 2020-08-04 miss | 0.62 | 0.62 | -0.5% | -0.2% | +5.8% | -4.8% | -6.0% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.8% | +1.6% | +14.1% | -5.5% | +10.1% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 0.77 | 0.86 | +11.1% | -6.6% | -9.9% | +4.3% | -17.2% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 0.67 | 0.70 | +4.0% | -1.0% | +1.8% | +0.3% | +30.0% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.7% | +6.6% | +5.3% | -4.0% | +5.5% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.11 | 1.19 | +6.8% | +0.3% | -0.5% | +1.6% | +5.3% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 0.56 | 0.61 | +9.9% | +8.3% | +7.8% | +2.3% | +5.3% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.3% | -3.8% | -3.4% | +2.4% | +6.0% |
| 2018-07-31 beat | 0.48 | 0.59 | +21.9% | +9.2% | +18.5% | +7.1% | +21.3% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +5.8% | -6.8% | -7.3% | +4.4% | +1.1% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 0.24 | 0.29 | +21.3% | +0.3% | -2.4% | +9.0% | +30.1% |
| 2017-10-31 beat | 0.19 | 0.29 | +54.7% | -4.0% | -6.0% | +2.7% | +4.2% |
| 2017-08-01 beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +28.2% | +1.8% | -4.3% | +2.1% | +9.5% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.41 | 0.47 | +13.5% | +4.3% | +4.6% | +1.8% | +7.2% |
| 2017-02-08 beat | 0.13 | 0.18 | +43.5% | +7.9% | +13.4% | +2.1% | +10.0% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.12 | 0.15 | +26.8% | -18.3% | -16.0% | -3.2% | -0.4% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.13 | 0.21 | +60.1% | +3.3% | +7.7% | -1.7% | +0.7% |
| 2016-05-03 beat | 0.21 | 0.33 | +56.1% | +5.2% | +4.6% | -1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2016-02-09 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +25.6% | +21.5% | +4.8% | +17.9% | +35.9% |
| 2015-11-03 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +15.8% | +13.0% | +16.8% | -4.8% | -12.2% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.06 | 0.10 | +62.6% | +6.1% | +18.1% | -0.8% | -0.7% |
| 2015-05-06 beat | 0.08 | 0.12 | +49.2% | +1.5% | +6.9% | +11.1% | +2.7% |
| 2015-02-10 beat | 0.04 | 0.06 | +41.8% | +7.7% | -0.8% | +6.2% | -0.2% |
| 2014-11-04 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +43.6% | +5.0% | +19.3% | +5.7% | +29.2% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +14.3% | +4.6% | +10.7% | +6.7% | +18.8% |
| 2014-05-21 miss | 0.05 | 0.02 | -60.0% | -0.6% | +9.9% | -13.2% | -4.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.