PAYX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.5% | 4.5% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.4% | 1.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 1.5% | 30% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.6% | 4.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 beat | 1.31 | 1.32 | +0.9% | +0.8% | -1.7% | +6.7% | +17.9% |
| 2026-03-25 beat | 1.67 | 1.71 | +2.3% | +5.1% | +3.0% | -2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2025-12-19 beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.4% | -0.1% | -1.7% | +1.5% | -4.5% |
| 2025-09-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.4% | -5.4% | -1.4% | +0.2% | -7.4% |
| 2025-06-25 miss | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.7% | -4.6% | -9.4% | +5.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-03-26 beat | 1.48 | 1.49 | +0.7% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +3.2% | -4.6% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.5% | +3.7% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +5.0% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 1.14 | 1.16 | +2.0% | +2.6% | +4.9% | -1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2024-06-26 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.8% | +0.0% | -6.1% | +0.0% | +7.1% |
| 2024-04-02 beat | 1.37 | 1.38 | +0.9% | -4.2% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -2.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.