PAYX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | -0.9% | 3.4% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 1.8% | 62% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -0.2% | 4.0% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 beat | 1.31 | 1.32 | +0.9% | +0.8% | -1.7% | +6.7% | +17.9% |
| 2026-03-25 beat | 1.67 | 1.71 | +2.3% | +5.1% | +3.0% | -2.6% | -3.8% |
| 2025-12-19 beat | 1.23 | 1.26 | +2.4% | -0.1% | -1.7% | +1.5% | -4.5% |
| 2025-09-30 beat | 1.20 | 1.22 | +1.4% | -5.4% | -1.4% | +0.2% | -7.4% |
| 2025-06-25 miss | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.7% | -4.6% | -9.4% | +5.8% | +7.3% |
| 2025-03-26 beat | 1.48 | 1.49 | +0.7% | +3.2% | +4.2% | +3.2% | -4.6% |
| 2024-12-19 beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.5% | +3.7% | +1.4% | +2.5% | +5.0% |
| 2024-10-01 beat | 1.14 | 1.16 | +2.0% | +2.6% | +4.9% | -1.9% | +0.4% |
| 2024-06-26 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.8% | +0.0% | -6.1% | +0.0% | +7.1% |
| 2024-04-02 beat | 1.37 | 1.38 | +0.9% | -4.2% | +0.4% | +3.7% | -2.2% |
| 2023-12-21 beat | 1.07 | 1.08 | +0.6% | -4.4% | -7.0% | +0.2% | +2.5% |
| 2023-09-27 beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.7% | -0.2% | +3.4% | -1.1% | -4.1% |
| 2023-06-29 beat | 0.97 | 0.97 | +0.1% | +3.3% | -1.2% | +3.8% | +14.8% |
| 2023-03-29 beat | 1.24 | 1.29 | +4.0% | +1.4% | +6.5% | -6.2% | -5.3% |
| 2022-12-22 beat | 0.96 | 0.99 | +3.0% | -3.3% | -2.3% | +3.0% | +3.1% |
| 2022-09-28 beat | 0.97 | 1.03 | +6.1% | +2.9% | +3.6% | -2.4% | -1.4% |
| 2022-06-29 beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.1% | -3.1% | -4.2% | +1.5% | +11.7% |
| 2022-03-30 beat | 1.05 | 1.15 | +9.8% | -0.4% | +3.3% | +3.2% | -7.4% |
| 2021-12-22 beat | 0.80 | 0.91 | +14.1% | +2.7% | +5.5% | +2.3% | -10.0% |
| 2021-09-30 beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +10.9% | +5.7% | +4.3% | +5.5% | +9.6% |
| 2021-06-25 beat | 0.67 | 0.72 | +7.7% | +0.9% | +1.3% | +3.0% | +7.2% |
| 2021-04-06 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +4.1% | -5.3% | -4.9% | +0.9% | +5.2% |
| 2020-12-23 beat | 0.66 | 0.73 | +10.6% | +3.0% | -2.3% | -1.3% | -7.5% |
| 2020-10-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.63 | +14.3% | -0.9% | -2.5% | +4.5% | +7.6% |
| 2020-07-07 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +1.3% | -0.7% | -4.9% | -2.8% | -1.6% |
| 2020-03-25 beat | 0.94 | 0.97 | +3.1% | -0.9% | +0.9% | +0.9% | +13.3% |
| 2019-12-18 beat | 0.68 | 0.70 | +2.2% | +2.2% | -0.5% | -0.1% | +4.6% |
| 2019-10-02 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +2.9% | +1.1% | +1.8% | -0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2019-06-26 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.9% | -0.9% | -3.6% | +3.5% | +5.9% |
| 2019-03-27 beat | 0.88 | 0.89 | +1.4% | -1.0% | -1.0% | +2.3% | +5.7% |
| 2018-12-19 beat | 0.63 | 0.65 | +2.5% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +0.7% | +7.2% |
| 2018-10-02 beat | 0.66 | 0.67 | +1.4% | -0.3% | +1.4% | -3.0% | -12.4% |
| 2018-06-27 miss | 0.62 | 0.61 | -0.9% | +0.4% | -3.1% | +3.3% | +6.0% |
| 2018-03-26 beat | 0.63 | 0.63 | +0.3% | +2.7% | -0.8% | -0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2017-12-21 miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.3% | -2.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.9% |
| 2017-10-03 beat | 0.60 | 0.62 | +2.9% | +3.7% | +3.6% | +2.8% | +3.5% |
| 2017-06-28 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.9% | -1.9% | -1.7% | -1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2017-03-29 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.9% | -0.1% | -2.5% | -1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2016-12-21 beat | 0.56 | 0.56 | +0.2% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.8% |
| 2016-09-28 beat | 0.57 | 0.57 | +1.3% | -2.3% | -4.6% | -1.2% | -3.9% |
| 2016-06-30 miss | 0.49 | 0.49 | -0.2% | +0.6% | +6.0% | +3.1% | -0.4% |
| 2016-03-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.3% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +0.7% | -0.9% |
| 2015-12-22 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.1% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +2.0% | -10.1% |
| 2015-09-30 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.9% | +1.3% | +3.5% | +3.9% | +8.7% |
| 2015-07-01 miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.9% | -1.9% | +0.9% | +0.3% | -1.9% |
| 2015-03-25 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.3% | -1.0% | -4.1% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
| 2014-12-19 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.2% | -1.0% | -3.0% | +1.6% | +3.6% |
| 2014-09-24 beat | 0.46 | 0.47 | +1.6% | +0.0% | +3.5% | -0.9% | +2.6% |
| 2014-07-01 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +1.3% | -2.1% | -2.3% | +1.9% | -0.3% |
| 2014-03-26 beat | 0.42 | 0.44 | +4.5% | +3.1% | +1.4% | +0.7% | -4.3% |
| 2013-12-18 beat | 0.42 | 0.43 | +1.4% | +2.1% | +3.6% | +1.5% | -2.7% |
| 2013-09-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.2% | -1.8% | -1.6% | -1.1% | +5.8% |
| 2013-06-26 miss | 0.37 | 0.34 | -9.3% | -2.7% | -3.7% | +2.8% | +7.3% |
| 2013-03-27 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +2.5% | +0.2% | +0.9% | -0.5% | +3.1% |
| 2012-12-19 beat | 0.41 | 0.41 | +1.2% | -0.8% | -2.0% | -4.7% | -0.3% |
| 2012-09-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.3% | -3.6% | -2.8% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2012-06-27 miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -0.8% | -1.2% | -3.0% | +0.5% | +6.1% |
| 2012-03-28 miss | 0.37 | 0.37 | -0.8% | -1.0% | -2.0% | +0.6% | -1.2% |
| 2011-12-20 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.0% | -0.6% | -2.6% | +2.4% | +9.8% |
| 2011-09-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +7.7% | +2.7% | +0.9% | -2.5% | +11.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.