PCAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.1% | -2.1% | 5.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 0.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | -2.0% | -2.0% | 6.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +5.4% | -1.1% | +3.6% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 1.16 | 1.15 | -0.9% | +0.9% | -6.0% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 1.06 | 1.06 | -0.3% | -4.6% | -1.1% | +5.9% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.08 | 1.12 | +3.9% | +1.3% | +2.4% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.31 | 1.37 | +4.3% | +3.8% | +6.1% | +0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 1.59 | 0.96 | -39.8% | -5.8% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +4.4% |
| 2025-01-28 miss | 1.69 | 1.66 | -1.5% | -3.4% | -2.4% | +1.1% | -1.6% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.82 | 1.85 | +1.7% | -3.1% | -4.4% | +1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 2.15 | 2.13 | -0.8% | -9.6% | -11.0% | -0.1% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.20 | 2.27 | +3.3% | -5.0% | -6.6% | +0.5% | -0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.