PCAR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 4.0% | 42% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 48% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.2% | 1.5% | 58% |
| 5-day | +0.1% | -0.2% | 5.1% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.36 | 1.43 | +5.4% | -1.1% | +3.6% | -1.6% | -6.5% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 1.16 | 1.15 | -0.9% | +0.9% | -6.0% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 1.06 | 1.06 | -0.3% | -4.6% | -1.1% | +5.9% | +2.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 1.08 | 1.12 | +3.9% | +1.3% | +2.4% | -0.7% | -3.4% |
| 2025-07-22 beat | 1.31 | 1.37 | +4.3% | +3.8% | +6.1% | +0.9% | -0.4% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 1.59 | 0.96 | -39.8% | -5.8% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +4.4% |
| 2025-01-28 miss | 1.69 | 1.66 | -1.5% | -3.4% | -2.4% | +1.1% | -1.6% |
| 2024-10-22 beat | 1.82 | 1.85 | +1.7% | -3.1% | -4.4% | +1.8% | +5.0% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 2.15 | 2.13 | -0.8% | -9.6% | -11.0% | -0.1% | -1.1% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.20 | 2.27 | +3.3% | -5.0% | -6.6% | +0.5% | -0.3% |
| 2024-01-23 beat | 2.21 | 2.70 | +22.1% | +0.7% | +4.0% | +1.0% | +9.4% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 2.12 | 2.34 | +10.2% | +2.0% | +4.3% | -2.7% | +7.6% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.17 | 2.33 | +7.6% | -6.1% | -2.7% | +0.1% | -0.8% |
| 2023-04-25 miss | 1.74 | 1.40 | -19.5% | +2.0% | +1.4% | -3.2% | -5.8% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 1.47 | 1.76 | +19.9% | +2.7% | +8.6% | -1.6% | -0.8% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 1.32 | 1.47 | +11.4% | +3.1% | -0.3% | +5.7% | +15.4% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.22 | 1.38 | +12.7% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +3.7% | +5.2% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.03 | 1.15 | +10.9% | -0.4% | -2.9% | +1.5% | -0.4% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 0.88 | 0.98 | +11.8% | +0.4% | +3.1% | +1.5% | -2.1% |
| 2021-10-26 miss | 0.81 | 0.72 | -10.9% | -2.8% | -0.4% | +5.5% | +2.1% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +2.4% | -1.0% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -3.1% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 0.84 | 0.90 | +7.0% | -0.7% | -2.2% | -1.3% | -0.5% |
| 2021-01-26 miss | 0.80 | 0.78 | -2.9% | -2.1% | -0.1% | -6.1% | -5.2% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.74 | +13.0% | +0.4% | -0.8% | -2.1% | -0.6% |
| 2020-07-21 beat | 0.21 | 0.29 | +34.6% | -0.7% | +5.0% | +2.1% | +5.3% |
| 2020-04-21 miss | 0.80 | 0.69 | -14.6% | +2.1% | -2.2% | +5.2% | +5.0% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.01 | 1.02 | +0.8% | +1.6% | +2.1% | -0.8% | -11.7% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 1.09 | 1.17 | +6.7% | +1.4% | +4.6% | +1.2% | +3.2% |
| 2019-07-23 miss | 1.20 | 1.19 | -1.3% | -3.1% | +0.1% | +2.5% | -6.1% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 1.10 | 1.21 | +9.9% | +1.0% | +0.5% | -3.9% | -5.1% |
| 2019-01-29 beat | 1.02 | 1.10 | +8.4% | +4.0% | +5.8% | +1.1% | +4.6% |
| 2018-10-23 beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +2.0% | -4.1% | -5.1% | -1.6% | +4.4% |
| 2018-07-24 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.5% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +3.9% | +7.1% |
| 2018-04-24 beat | 0.87 | 0.97 | +10.6% | +1.0% | -6.5% | -2.1% | +0.3% |
| 2018-01-30 beat | 0.75 | 0.79 | +5.0% | -3.2% | -4.1% | -7.5% | -8.8% |
| 2017-10-24 beat | 0.72 | 0.76 | +5.4% | -1.1% | -5.7% | +1.9% | -3.6% |
| 2017-07-25 beat | 0.66 | 0.71 | +7.3% | +1.2% | -0.7% | -2.3% | -6.7% |
| 2017-04-25 beat | 0.58 | 0.59 | +0.4% | -2.0% | -2.9% | +3.5% | -4.7% |
| 2017-01-31 miss | 0.58 | 0.55 | -5.5% | -2.5% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2016-10-25 miss | 0.66 | 0.65 | -1.4% | -2.4% | -2.7% | -0.4% | +13.1% |
| 2016-07-26 beat | 0.70 | 0.91 | +30.1% | +0.5% | +4.4% | -0.9% | +2.4% |
| 2016-04-26 miss | 0.64 | -1.13 | -275.5% | +3.4% | +5.1% | -1.8% | -5.9% |
| 2016-01-29 miss | 0.68 | 0.65 | -4.5% | -4.5% | +3.6% | +2.1% | +7.4% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +4.1% | -6.3% | -6.7% | +4.0% | +0.8% |
| 2015-07-28 beat | 0.77 | 0.84 | +9.5% | +1.5% | +0.2% | -2.6% | -10.1% |
| 2015-04-21 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.2% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2015-01-30 beat | 0.73 | 0.74 | +1.2% | -2.9% | -6.2% | +4.4% | +7.4% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.7% | +2.2% | +2.7% | +3.9% | +7.0% |
| 2014-07-29 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.1% | +0.9% | -2.0% | -3.3% | -1.3% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 0.51 | 0.51 | +1.5% | -3.5% | -3.5% | -1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2014-01-31 beat | 0.62 | 0.63 | +1.4% | -3.7% | -2.5% | +5.6% | +17.7% |
| 2013-10-29 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +2.3% | -2.0% | -2.7% | +1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2013-07-23 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +9.7% | +3.0% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -5.3% |
| 2013-04-23 miss | 0.46 | 0.45 | -3.6% | -0.5% | -0.6% | +2.1% | +11.0% |
| 2013-01-31 beat | 0.46 | 0.48 | +5.2% | -0.7% | -2.3% | +0.2% | -0.5% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.44 | 0.44 | +0.8% | +6.6% | +8.1% | +5.3% | +3.2% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 0.55 | 0.55 | +1.3% | +4.6% | +0.6% | +5.3% | +6.7% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 0.52 | 0.61 | +16.2% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +0.5% | -7.9% |
| 2012-01-31 beat | 0.53 | 0.61 | +13.7% | +4.1% | +0.0% | -0.7% | +4.1% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.46 | 0.51 | +10.5% | +2.3% | -2.1% | +1.7% | -10.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.