PDS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +1.3% | 6.0% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.9% | 2.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | +0.5% | 2.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -0.3% | 6.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.40 | -0.09 | -122.4% | +1.0% | -6.6% | +2.4% | +23.5% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 2.31 | 1.34 | -41.9% | -3.9% | -8.3% | -3.6% | -1.1% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 2.07 | 1.91 | -7.7% | +2.3% | -7.8% | +6.4% | +12.0% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 1.19 | -0.51 | -142.7% | -1.7% | +3.9% | +0.0% | -2.9% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.05 | 1.07 | +1938.1% | +4.6% | +6.5% | -3.2% | +0.7% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.09 | 2.56 | +22.9% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -0.2% | -2.0% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 1.54 | 1.06 | -31.0% | -1.5% | -0.8% | -3.2% | -19.1% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 2.23 | 2.31 | +3.8% | +3.0% | +7.0% | +4.7% | +3.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.23 | 1.44 | +517.8% | +3.5% | +6.8% | -12.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 2.64 | 2.53 | -4.3% | -2.8% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.