PDS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 6.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +1.1% | 4.3% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 3.6% | 58% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +0.9% | 9.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.40 | -0.09 | -122.4% | +1.0% | -6.6% | +2.4% | +23.5% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 2.31 | 1.34 | -41.9% | -3.9% | -8.3% | -3.6% | -1.1% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 2.07 | 1.91 | -7.7% | +2.3% | -7.8% | +6.4% | +12.0% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 1.19 | -0.51 | -142.7% | -1.7% | +3.9% | +0.0% | -2.9% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.05 | 1.07 | +1938.1% | +4.6% | +6.5% | -3.2% | +0.7% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.09 | 2.56 | +22.9% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -0.2% | -2.0% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 1.54 | 1.06 | -31.0% | -1.5% | -0.8% | -3.2% | -19.1% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 2.23 | 2.31 | +3.8% | +3.0% | +7.0% | +4.7% | +3.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.23 | 1.44 | +517.8% | +3.5% | +6.8% | -12.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 2.64 | 2.53 | -4.3% | -2.8% | +1.3% | +1.7% | +2.9% |
| 2024-02-06 beat | 1.92 | 9.81 | +409.9% | +10.2% | +5.7% | -1.9% | +1.4% |
| 2023-10-26 miss | 1.66 | 1.45 | -12.9% | -6.3% | -4.0% | +3.1% | +0.7% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.31 | 1.63 | +24.2% | +2.3% | +6.6% | +4.1% | +2.0% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 4.10 | 5.57 | +36.0% | +6.6% | +5.3% | -13.8% | -13.3% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 4.32 | 0.27 | -93.8% | -0.5% | -13.9% | +0.7% | -15.3% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.75 | 2.03 | +169.4% | +5.1% | -1.6% | +16.0% | +13.9% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | -2.34 | -1.81 | +22.6% | +7.9% | +6.0% | +5.0% | +5.5% |
| 2022-04-28 miss | -2.31 | -3.25 | -40.7% | +2.7% | +2.5% | -6.8% | +10.3% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | -1.97 | -2.05 | -4.2% | +0.2% | +2.3% | +21.6% | +30.5% |
| 2021-10-21 miss | -2.25 | -2.86 | -26.9% | -2.4% | -7.7% | -0.2% | -22.6% |
| 2021-07-22 miss | -4.02 | -5.71 | -42.1% | -4.3% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -13.0% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -2.78 | -2.70 | +2.9% | +1.1% | -3.9% | +5.4% | +20.5% |
| 2021-02-10 miss | -2.60 | -2.74 | -5.5% | -1.3% | -9.9% | +1.4% | +20.6% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | -4.03 | -1.86 | +53.8% | -2.9% | +11.4% | -10.3% | +14.4% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | -4.12 | -3.41 | +17.2% | +1.5% | +0.0% | -1.5% | +15.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | -0.66 | 0.33 | +149.8% | +14.6% | +14.6% | -5.5% | +1.8% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | -1.01 | 1.08 | +207.3% | +4.0% | +13.6% | -3.5% | -73.2% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | -1.02 | -0.65 | +36.3% | +3.8% | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | -1.99 | -0.99 | +50.2% | +1.1% | -4.6% | -1.8% | -35.5% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | -0.99 | 1.70 | +271.8% | +3.2% | -4.6% | -16.8% | -29.1% |
| 2019-02-14 beat | -1.26 | — | +100.0% | +3.3% | +14.6% | +5.8% | -1.2% |
| 2018-10-25 miss | -1.51 | -2.00 | -32.2% | -1.2% | -4.3% | -2.0% | -1.6% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | -2.69 | -3.16 | -17.4% | -3.5% | +2.9% | +2.5% | +12.1% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | -1.40 | -1.20 | +14.1% | +1.5% | +4.3% | +2.7% | +5.6% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | -1.78 | -1.60 | +10.1% | -1.8% | -1.5% | +2.7% | -19.3% |
| 2017-10-27 beat | -2.49 | -1.80 | +27.7% | +1.7% | +10.0% | +19.3% | -3.1% |
| 2017-07-31 beat | -4.16 | -2.40 | +42.3% | +4.0% | -3.3% | -0.3% | -14.7% |
| 2017-04-24 beat | -2.06 | -1.60 | +22.5% | +0.9% | -3.2% | -8.6% | -6.2% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | -3.07 | -2.02 | +34.1% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -3.4% | -17.1% |
| 2016-10-21 beat | -4.11 | -3.43 | +16.6% | -0.4% | +3.4% | -6.4% | +4.2% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | -4.88 | -4.00 | +18.0% | -1.5% | -4.5% | -5.6% | -0.7% |
| 2016-04-25 beat | -3.16 | -1.55 | +51.1% | +0.2% | -5.9% | +12.1% | -3.6% |
| 2016-02-11 beat | -2.80 | 6.70 | +339.1% | -0.7% | -1.8% | +17.5% | +72.4% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | -2.43 | -1.00 | +58.9% | +0.9% | +3.6% | -18.0% | -17.7% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | -3.62 | -2.00 | +44.7% | +3.3% | -1.0% | +3.3% | -18.1% |
| 2015-04-27 beat | 0.98 | 1.60 | +62.9% | -0.3% | +0.9% | +9.2% | -3.8% |
| 2015-02-12 beat | 4.58 | 7.37 | +60.7% | +4.1% | +4.6% | +6.2% | -7.3% |
| 2014-10-27 beat | 3.56 | 3.60 | +1.1% | +0.2% | -8.4% | -1.4% | -3.7% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.03 | -0.40 | -1433.3% | +1.5% | +0.0% | -9.2% | -13.0% |
| 2014-04-28 miss | 7.08 | 7.00 | -1.1% | +2.9% | -1.0% | +3.9% | +1.7% |
| 2014-02-13 beat | 3.34 | 4.80 | +43.8% | +2.2% | +7.1% | +6.3% | +5.5% |
| 2013-10-24 miss | 3.28 | 2.00 | -39.1% | -0.9% | -3.1% | +4.3% | -6.4% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | -0.16 | — | +100.0% | -0.3% | +5.6% | +4.1% | -0.6% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 5.84 | 6.60 | +13.0% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +0.3% | +4.3% |
| 2013-02-14 beat | 3.25 | 4.20 | +29.1% | -1.0% | +1.8% | -7.3% | -0.8% |
| 2012-10-25 miss | 3.28 | 2.80 | -14.7% | +1.1% | -0.1% | +0.3% | -6.9% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 1.08 | 1.20 | +11.0% | +1.6% | +0.1% | +13.5% | +14.5% |
| 2012-04-26 miss | 8.89 | 7.80 | -12.3% | -1.5% | -3.3% | -6.3% | -16.2% |
| 2012-02-09 beat | 5.78 | 7.20 | +24.6% | +2.4% | +0.6% | +0.2% | -0.6% |
| 2011-10-21 beat | 4.58 | 5.80 | +26.7% | +5.4% | -3.4% | +14.8% | -2.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.