PEP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +1.1% | 4.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +1.4% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 0.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.3% | +2.3% | 5.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 miss | 2.21 | 2.20 | -0.4% | -3.8% | -3.3% | +1.1% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 1.55 | 1.61 | +3.8% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -1.7% | -5.8% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 2.24 | 2.26 | +1.0% | +0.9% | +4.9% | +2.5% | -1.3% |
| 2025-10-09 beat | 2.26 | 2.29 | +1.3% | +1.2% | +4.2% | +5.5% | -1.2% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 2.03 | 2.12 | +4.5% | +4.7% | +7.5% | -0.6% | +3.4% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.8% | -0.6% | -4.9% | -1.3% | -4.4% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.94 | 1.96 | +0.9% | -2.8% | -4.5% | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| 2024-10-08 beat | 2.29 | 2.31 | +0.7% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +3.2% | -3.4% |
| 2024-07-11 beat | 2.16 | 2.28 | +5.6% | -2.7% | +0.2% | +3.9% | +5.1% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.52 | 1.61 | +6.0% | -1.0% | -3.0% | +2.7% | +6.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.