PEP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +0.8% | 2.9% | 67% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.7% | 1.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.3% | 1.0% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.3% | +0.7% | 3.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 miss | 2.21 | 2.20 | -0.4% | -3.8% | -3.3% | +1.1% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-16 beat | 1.55 | 1.61 | +3.8% | +0.4% | +2.3% | -1.7% | -5.8% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 2.24 | 2.26 | +1.0% | +0.9% | +4.9% | +2.5% | -1.3% |
| 2025-10-09 beat | 2.26 | 2.29 | +1.3% | +1.2% | +4.2% | +5.5% | -1.2% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 2.03 | 2.12 | +4.5% | +4.7% | +7.5% | -0.6% | +3.4% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 1.49 | 1.48 | -0.8% | -0.6% | -4.9% | -1.3% | -4.4% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.94 | 1.96 | +0.9% | -2.8% | -4.5% | +1.5% | +7.7% |
| 2024-10-08 beat | 2.29 | 2.31 | +0.7% | +0.3% | +1.9% | +3.2% | -3.4% |
| 2024-07-11 beat | 2.16 | 2.28 | +5.6% | -2.7% | +0.2% | +3.9% | +5.1% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 1.52 | 1.61 | +6.0% | -1.0% | -3.0% | +2.7% | +6.3% |
| 2024-02-09 beat | 1.72 | 1.78 | +3.4% | -1.5% | -3.6% | -0.8% | -1.9% |
| 2023-10-10 beat | 2.15 | 2.25 | +4.4% | +1.8% | +1.9% | -2.5% | +1.8% |
| 2023-07-13 beat | 1.96 | 2.09 | +6.6% | +1.4% | +2.4% | +0.9% | -1.9% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.39 | 1.50 | +8.2% | +0.6% | +2.3% | +1.3% | -2.5% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.65 | 1.67 | +1.2% | +2.4% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +0.5% |
| 2022-10-12 beat | 1.85 | 1.97 | +6.7% | +3.8% | +4.2% | +2.3% | +7.3% |
| 2022-07-12 beat | 1.74 | 1.86 | +7.1% | +1.5% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +3.8% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.23 | 1.29 | +4.5% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -3.1% | -2.5% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.52 | 1.53 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -1.0% | -7.4% |
| 2021-10-05 beat | 1.73 | 1.79 | +3.3% | +0.8% | +0.6% | +3.9% | +8.7% |
| 2021-07-13 beat | 1.53 | 1.72 | +12.7% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +1.9% | +1.4% |
| 2021-04-15 beat | 1.12 | 1.21 | +8.0% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +2.6% | +3.0% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 1.46 | 1.47 | +0.7% | +0.1% | -2.0% | -1.8% | -1.4% |
| 2020-10-01 beat | 1.49 | 1.66 | +11.6% | +0.6% | +1.6% | -2.1% | -5.3% |
| 2020-07-13 beat | 1.25 | 1.32 | +6.0% | +1.7% | +0.3% | -1.3% | +0.2% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +3.9% | +1.7% | +1.4% | -3.4% | -3.0% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 1.45 | 1.45 | +0.1% | -0.6% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -22.8% |
| 2019-10-03 beat | 1.51 | 1.56 | +3.3% | +3.4% | +3.0% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2019-07-09 beat | 1.51 | 1.54 | +2.2% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +1.6% | -3.0% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 0.93 | 0.97 | +4.8% | +2.1% | +3.8% | -0.7% | +2.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.