PGR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 1.4% | 42% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.2% | 4.3% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 4.84 | 4.85 | +0.3% | -8.2% | -9.4% | -0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2026-04-15 beat | 4.88 | 4.96 | +1.6% | +1.3% | +2.4% | +0.7% | -2.2% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 4.43 | 4.67 | +5.3% | -1.0% | +2.2% | -3.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-10-15 miss | 5.05 | 4.05 | -19.7% | -5.9% | -5.8% | -1.7% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 4.43 | 4.88 | +10.0% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +0.4% | +1.8% |
| 2025-04-16 miss | 4.78 | 4.65 | -2.6% | +1.8% | -0.4% | -3.6% | +4.0% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 3.56 | 4.08 | +14.6% | -2.7% | +0.6% | +1.1% | +14.4% |
| 2024-10-15 miss | 3.67 | 3.58 | -2.3% | +0.8% | -0.1% | -1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2024-07-16 beat | 2.01 | 2.65 | +31.7% | +2.5% | -3.3% | +2.8% | +11.6% |
| 2024-04-12 beat | 3.21 | 3.76 | +17.1% | +2.8% | +0.8% | +5.3% | +4.2% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 2.43 | 2.97 | +22.6% | +6.6% | +4.7% | -0.1% | +7.3% |
| 2023-10-31 beat | 1.71 | 2.11 | +23.4% | +0.0% | +1.9% | +0.3% | +3.8% |
| 2023-08-01 miss | 0.84 | 0.42 | -50.6% | +0.3% | +1.1% | -0.7% | +5.2% |
| 2023-04-13 miss | 1.35 | 0.66 | -50.9% | -4.9% | -6.7% | +0.1% | -3.5% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 1.43 | 1.51 | +5.7% | -0.5% | +4.9% | +1.9% | +4.7% |
| 2022-10-13 miss | 0.92 | 0.53 | -42.2% | -6.5% | +0.8% | -2.9% | +3.1% |
| 2022-07-15 miss | 0.93 | 0.79 | -14.9% | +2.6% | +3.3% | -4.2% | +5.1% |
| 2022-04-14 miss | 1.24 | 1.15 | -7.7% | -1.4% | -1.6% | -3.4% | -2.1% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.02 | 1.08 | +5.8% | +2.3% | -1.5% | +1.7% | -0.4% |
| 2021-10-14 miss | 0.22 | 0.15 | -32.7% | -0.6% | -0.9% | +5.1% | +6.8% |
| 2021-07-15 miss | 1.05 | 0.71 | -32.4% | -7.6% | -2.6% | -1.6% | +1.2% |
| 2021-04-15 beat | 1.72 | 1.72 | +0.1% | +0.6% | +3.3% | -0.2% | +6.7% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 1.69 | 1.84 | +8.5% | -1.0% | -5.1% | -0.1% | -1.3% |
| 2020-10-14 beat | 1.69 | 1.88 | +11.2% | +0.3% | -0.6% | -6.1% | -5.0% |
| 2020-07-15 beat | 1.73 | 1.85 | +6.9% | +0.6% | +1.6% | +4.9% | +3.7% |
| 2020-04-15 beat | 1.46 | 1.93 | +32.4% | -7.7% | -1.5% | +4.1% | -7.0% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 1.13 | 1.29 | +14.7% | +4.9% | +5.7% | +2.7% | -9.5% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 1.30 | 1.33 | +2.0% | -5.3% | -2.8% | -6.1% | +0.1% |
| 2019-07-17 beat | 1.41 | 1.43 | +1.1% | -2.5% | -4.7% | +1.0% | -3.9% |
| 2019-04-16 miss | 1.36 | 1.35 | -0.4% | +2.8% | +6.9% | -2.8% | +0.8% |
| 2019-01-23 beat | 1.01 | 1.25 | +23.6% | -0.6% | +2.7% | +2.7% | +11.2% |
| 2018-10-16 beat | 1.10 | 1.33 | +20.6% | +2.8% | +6.1% | -1.2% | -7.8% |
| 2018-07-17 beat | 1.11 | 1.16 | +4.6% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +0.0% | +7.8% |
| 2018-04-17 beat | 1.18 | 1.29 | +9.5% | +0.9% | +2.2% | -2.5% | -1.1% |
| 2018-01-24 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +3.9% | +1.0% | -3.0% | -2.2% | +4.3% |
| 2017-10-17 beat | 0.35 | 0.42 | +20.7% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +1.0% | +6.4% |
| 2017-07-18 miss | 0.59 | 0.59 | -0.3% | -0.4% | -0.2% | +3.5% | +7.4% |
| 2017-04-18 miss | 0.69 | 0.67 | -3.0% | -0.9% | -1.4% | +2.3% | +5.5% |
| 2017-01-25 beat | 0.51 | 0.62 | +21.8% | +0.4% | +3.2% | -2.2% | +3.4% |
| 2016-10-13 beat | 0.33 | 0.37 | +10.3% | +1.7% | +2.6% | -1.4% | +2.2% |
| 2016-07-14 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.6% | +1.1% | +0.6% | -2.4% | +1.5% |
| 2016-04-14 miss | 0.51 | 0.42 | -16.5% | -1.8% | -3.4% | -2.5% | -1.0% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.46 | 0.55 | +18.7% | +4.0% | +3.0% | +0.1% | +5.7% |
| 2015-10-16 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +2.1% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +1.6% | -4.9% |
| 2015-07-17 miss | 0.55 | 0.53 | -4.2% | +0.1% | +3.6% | -2.5% | -0.1% |
| 2015-04-15 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +8.7% | +1.4% | +1.6% | -1.8% | +0.7% |
| 2015-01-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.59 | +31.8% | +1.5% | -0.6% | -1.6% | +0.5% |
| 2014-10-10 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +4.0% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -1.0% | +7.7% |
| 2014-07-10 miss | 0.48 | 0.45 | -7.8% | -1.7% | -2.7% | -1.5% | -3.3% |
| 2014-04-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +3.9% | +0.5% | -0.4% | -0.3% | +2.4% |
| 2014-01-22 miss | 0.42 | 0.41 | -4.2% | -0.3% | -2.0% | -7.7% | -5.9% |
| 2013-10-09 beat | 0.36 | 0.36 | +1.3% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +2.1% | -1.4% |
| 2013-07-11 miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -4.8% | -0.2% | -1.1% | +0.9% | -0.1% |
| 2013-04-10 miss | 0.45 | 0.42 | -5.4% | -0.6% | -1.3% | -2.9% | +0.6% |
| 2013-01-18 miss | 0.34 | 0.34 | -1.4% | -0.2% | +0.5% | -1.1% | +7.0% |
| 2012-10-10 miss | 0.26 | 0.26 | -0.1% | +1.4% | +1.9% | +4.0% | +0.7% |
| 2012-07-12 miss | 0.27 | 0.20 | -26.3% | -5.1% | -5.0% | +2.9% | +1.1% |
| 2012-04-11 miss | 0.39 | 0.34 | -13.1% | -0.6% | -0.6% | -0.1% | -2.6% |
| 2012-01-19 beat | 0.35 | 0.40 | +13.4% | +0.5% | +4.6% | -0.9% | +3.3% |
| 2011-10-12 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +4.8% | +0.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.