PI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.4% | +5.2% | 19.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 2.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +0.9% | 4.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.4% | +8.9% | 24.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +8.1% | +7.7% | +5.9% | +16.6% | +15.3% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -6.9% | +29.1% | +20.7% | +4.4% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.3% | -18.9% | -24.6% | +4.3% | -20.1% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.50 | 0.58 | +16.9% | -10.8% | -14.8% | -18.0% | -21.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +13.6% | +18.6% | +26.5% | +2.1% | +21.3% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.21 | +153.0% | +19.2% | +16.5% | +5.8% | +24.8% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.48 | +0.5% | -21.5% | -15.2% | -3.9% | -6.5% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +17.1% | -5.9% | -13.6% | -1.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.76 | 0.83 | +9.8% | +7.2% | +4.4% | -9.3% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.11 | 0.21 | +90.9% | +7.7% | +28.6% | +2.7% | +6.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.