PI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.3% | +4.0% | 18.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.9% | 3.6% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 4.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +4.6% | +5.0% | 22.2% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.80 | 0.86 | +8.1% | +7.7% | +5.9% | +16.6% | +15.3% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 0.15 | 0.14 | -6.9% | +29.1% | +20.7% | +4.4% | -1.6% |
| 2026-02-05 miss | 0.51 | 0.50 | -1.3% | -18.9% | -24.6% | +4.3% | -20.1% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.50 | 0.58 | +16.9% | -10.8% | -14.8% | -18.0% | -21.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.70 | 0.80 | +13.6% | +18.6% | +26.5% | +2.1% | +21.3% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.21 | +153.0% | +19.2% | +16.5% | +5.8% | +24.8% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 0.48 | 0.48 | +0.5% | -21.5% | -15.2% | -3.9% | -6.5% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +17.1% | -5.9% | -13.6% | -1.2% | -0.6% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.76 | 0.83 | +9.8% | +7.2% | +4.4% | -9.3% | +2.8% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.11 | 0.21 | +90.9% | +7.7% | +28.6% | +2.7% | +6.9% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.01 | 0.09 | +620.0% | +10.3% | +3.5% | -6.7% | +6.3% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | -0.09 | — | +100.0% | +25.0% | +23.9% | +6.4% | +34.5% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.31 | 0.33 | +7.4% | -9.9% | -11.9% | -11.2% | -11.8% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -9.5% | -33.3% | -39.1% | +4.6% | +22.1% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.39 | 0.41 | +6.3% | +7.1% | +0.3% | +5.1% | -0.5% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.17 | 0.34 | +100.0% | +21.6% | +29.2% | -3.8% | +6.2% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | -0.03 | 0.11 | +523.1% | +14.8% | +18.7% | +14.6% | +11.8% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | -0.01 | 0.09 | +887.4% | +2.5% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -3.9% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.03 | 0.16 | +540.0% | -14.3% | -21.0% | -4.6% | -23.9% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | -0.10 | -0.04 | +60.0% | +8.7% | +27.0% | +10.4% | +7.4% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | -0.04 | 0.11 | +353.9% | +4.4% | +3.1% | +10.0% | +34.3% |
| 2021-04-28 beat | -0.12 | 0.01 | +108.1% | -8.7% | -19.4% | +4.6% | +11.2% |
| 2021-02-10 beat | -0.22 | -0.15 | +30.5% | +11.8% | +9.4% | +3.8% | -12.7% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | -0.32 | -0.29 | +9.4% | -5.1% | -0.8% | +5.4% | +51.2% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | -0.27 | -0.25 | +6.0% | -9.2% | -13.8% | +13.1% | +5.3% |
| 2020-04-27 beat | -0.02 | 0.13 | +822.2% | +16.7% | +13.3% | -2.4% | +12.3% |
| 2020-03-02 beat | 0.01 | 0.03 | +500.0% | -3.5% | -10.7% | -12.4% | -41.3% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | — | 0.09 | +2763.7% | +3.3% | +5.7% | +2.5% | -13.5% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | -0.09 | 0.03 | +134.4% | -2.0% | +13.0% | -9.3% | -8.7% |
| 2019-04-29 beat | -0.26 | -0.11 | +57.7% | +22.1% | +34.9% | -1.6% | -15.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.