PII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -4.2% | 8.3% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -3.2% | -2.9% | 3.3% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +1.2% | +0.6% | 2.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | -2.8% | -2.0% | 8.2% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.71 | 1.97 | +176.8% | +2.5% | -4.2% | +3.0% | -11.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | -0.40 | 0.13 | +132.3% | -3.6% | +8.9% | -0.5% | +5.4% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +100.1% | -7.0% | -4.2% | +1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.23 | 0.41 | +79.9% | +3.6% | -5.3% | -5.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | -0.02 | 0.40 | +1778.6% | +13.5% | +16.8% | -8.5% | -0.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | -0.91 | -0.90 | +0.7% | +7.4% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +17.9% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +1.9% | -3.9% | -9.2% | -10.9% | -12.6% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 0.91 | 0.73 | -19.7% | -0.2% | -9.9% | +1.9% | -9.7% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 2.26 | 1.38 | -39.1% | -9.6% | -4.8% | +7.4% | +8.5% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.09 | 0.23 | +150.3% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -2.1% | -3.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.