PII chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -1.2% | 6.6% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | +0.3% | 3.4% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 2.3% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.3% | -0.7% | 6.9% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 0.71 | 1.97 | +176.8% | +2.5% | -4.2% | +3.0% | -11.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | -0.40 | 0.13 | +132.3% | -3.6% | +8.9% | -0.5% | +5.4% |
| 2026-01-27 beat | 0.04 | 0.08 | +100.1% | -7.0% | -4.2% | +1.5% | -3.5% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.23 | 0.41 | +79.9% | +3.6% | -5.3% | -5.0% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | -0.02 | 0.40 | +1778.6% | +13.5% | +16.8% | -8.5% | -0.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | -0.91 | -0.90 | +0.7% | +7.4% | +0.3% | -0.3% | +17.9% |
| 2025-01-28 beat | 0.90 | 0.92 | +1.9% | -3.9% | -9.2% | -10.9% | -12.6% |
| 2024-10-22 miss | 0.91 | 0.73 | -19.7% | -0.2% | -9.9% | +1.9% | -9.7% |
| 2024-07-23 miss | 2.26 | 1.38 | -39.1% | -9.6% | -4.8% | +7.4% | +8.5% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 0.09 | 0.23 | +150.3% | -0.3% | -1.5% | -2.1% | -3.5% |
| 2024-01-30 miss | 2.60 | 1.98 | -23.7% | -7.2% | -3.8% | -0.5% | +3.9% |
| 2023-10-24 miss | 2.72 | 2.72 | -0.0% | -1.4% | -3.0% | -0.2% | +4.3% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.23 | 2.42 | +8.6% | -0.6% | -1.3% | +0.1% | -16.4% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.71 | 2.05 | +19.5% | +0.7% | -0.9% | +0.8% | +0.2% |
| 2023-01-31 beat | 3.26 | 3.46 | +6.1% | +4.1% | +7.7% | +1.5% | +0.5% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 2.78 | 3.25 | +16.9% | +0.5% | +3.7% | +6.3% | +15.1% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 2.12 | 2.42 | +14.2% | +1.0% | -2.5% | +3.2% | +8.2% |
| 2022-04-26 miss | 1.77 | 1.29 | -27.2% | -6.8% | -7.8% | +4.4% | +4.7% |
| 2022-01-25 beat | 2.03 | 2.16 | +6.4% | -0.9% | -0.8% | +5.3% | +8.2% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.96 | 1.98 | +1.0% | -6.5% | -7.9% | +4.5% | +5.3% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 2.17 | 2.70 | +24.6% | -4.7% | -5.8% | +2.6% | -3.5% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.60 | 2.30 | +43.4% | -3.7% | -1.2% | -0.7% | -8.5% |
| 2021-01-26 beat | 2.90 | 3.34 | +15.2% | +5.9% | +3.5% | -6.6% | -1.9% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 2.19 | 2.85 | +29.9% | -0.8% | +0.5% | +2.3% | +3.9% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.63 | 1.30 | +107.5% | +5.8% | +7.4% | +0.0% | -1.1% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.22 | -56.3% | +2.9% | +3.7% | -1.3% | +26.9% |
| 2020-01-28 beat | 1.79 | 1.83 | +2.3% | +7.7% | +5.7% | -4.3% | -13.3% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 1.57 | 1.68 | +7.3% | +2.0% | +10.9% | +0.3% | -3.9% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 1.65 | 1.73 | +5.1% | +5.1% | +11.8% | +2.6% | -10.2% |
| 2019-04-23 beat | 0.91 | 1.08 | +18.9% | +1.1% | -1.2% | -1.4% | -8.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.