PODD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.4% | 11.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +1.5% | 3.1% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 3.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +3.1% | 11.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.45 | 1.66 | +14.3% | -23.3% | -20.1% | +8.9% | +13.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.19 | 1.42 | +19.3% | -0.3% | -9.7% | -1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.46 | 1.55 | +6.0% | +8.0% | +4.8% | -3.9% | -11.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.15 | 1.24 | +8.1% | +2.9% | +2.8% | +2.9% | -8.4% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.92 | 1.17 | +26.8% | +14.3% | +9.5% | +4.0% | +15.2% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.79 | 1.02 | +29.7% | +14.0% | +20.9% | +4.5% | -3.8% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.15 | +12.6% | -4.1% | -1.9% | -3.7% | -3.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.76 | 0.90 | +18.3% | +4.9% | +9.4% | -2.9% | +2.5% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -2.5% | -12.8% | -8.8% | +6.2% | +24.3% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.73 | +85.1% | +2.4% | -6.6% | +12.9% | +15.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.