PODD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.5% | +1.6% | 10.3% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.3% | 3.7% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.4% | 2.6% | 47% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +2.5% | 12.3% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 1.45 | 1.66 | +14.3% | -23.3% | -20.1% | +8.9% | +13.0% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 1.19 | 1.42 | +19.3% | -0.3% | -9.7% | -1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 1.46 | 1.55 | +6.0% | +8.0% | +4.8% | -3.9% | -11.4% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.15 | 1.24 | +8.1% | +2.9% | +2.8% | +2.9% | -8.4% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.92 | 1.17 | +26.8% | +14.3% | +9.5% | +4.0% | +15.2% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.79 | 1.02 | +29.7% | +14.0% | +20.9% | +4.5% | -3.8% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 1.02 | 1.15 | +12.6% | -4.1% | -1.9% | -3.7% | -3.1% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.76 | 0.90 | +18.3% | +4.9% | +9.4% | -2.9% | +2.5% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 0.56 | 0.55 | -2.5% | -12.8% | -8.8% | +6.2% | +24.3% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.73 | +85.1% | +2.4% | -6.6% | +12.9% | +15.8% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.66 | 1.40 | +111.4% | -6.2% | -6.6% | -8.1% | -10.6% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.41 | 0.71 | +73.8% | +11.1% | +15.8% | -4.6% | +17.6% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.26 | 0.38 | +43.4% | -1.4% | -3.6% | -8.3% | -25.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.10 | 0.23 | +122.2% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +0.4% | -13.1% |
| 2023-02-23 beat | 0.19 | 0.55 | +188.9% | +4.2% | -1.1% | -2.4% | +7.0% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.14 | 0.41 | +194.3% | +20.0% | +22.6% | -6.2% | -4.2% |
| 2022-08-04 miss | 0.23 | -0.08 | -133.6% | +0.7% | +4.3% | +1.4% | -6.5% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.24 | 0.40 | +68.2% | -1.5% | -9.4% | -3.2% | +7.0% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 0.33 | 0.43 | +29.0% | -5.6% | +10.6% | +3.9% | -1.3% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.25 | 0.20 | -20.8% | -3.0% | +2.1% | +2.2% | -11.5% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +13.8% | +0.9% | -1.8% | +4.4% | +11.5% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.09 | — | -100.0% | -5.2% | -7.5% | -0.8% | +18.8% |
| 2021-02-23 miss | -0.02 | -0.05 | -137.2% | +0.0% | +0.6% | -3.5% | -1.2% |
| 2020-11-04 beat | 0.08 | 0.17 | +116.1% | +4.1% | +10.5% | +1.9% | -2.3% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.22 | +1898.2% | -1.1% | -1.2% | -7.2% | -6.0% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | -0.02 | -0.03 | -94.2% | -5.7% | +1.2% | -6.3% | -16.4% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -15.1% | -4.4% | -8.5% | -0.5% | -1.2% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +111.0% | +7.0% | +10.5% | +11.0% | +15.0% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -30.1% | +18.6% | +21.4% | +6.7% | +11.0% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.01 | 0.07 | +396.1% | +3.9% | +12.3% | +6.7% | +15.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.