POOL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | -0.6% | 7.2% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 1.2% | 30% |
| 5-day | -2.7% | -3.5% | 6.7% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 5.34 | 5.38 | +0.8% | +3.8% | -6.6% | +4.0% | +2.5% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 1.35 | 1.43 | +6.2% | +3.4% | -2.4% | -6.7% | -19.3% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.98 | 0.84 | -14.2% | -10.7% | -14.5% | +2.3% | -8.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 3.37 | 3.39 | +0.7% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -7.7% | -20.1% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 5.15 | 5.17 | +0.3% | +8.9% | +3.0% | -5.6% | -0.8% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 1.46 | 1.32 | -9.7% | +1.2% | -6.7% | +2.6% | +4.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.89 | 0.97 | +8.5% | +5.0% | +1.0% | -0.5% | -7.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.17 | 3.26 | +2.8% | +8.4% | +7.6% | -4.2% | -2.9% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 4.90 | 4.98 | +1.7% | +7.0% | +10.0% | +1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 1.93 | 1.85 | -4.0% | -2.6% | -2.0% | -2.7% | -2.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.