POOL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -1.2% | 5.6% | 43% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +1.4% | 2.0% | 77% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.1% | 2.2% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.9% | 6.3% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 5.34 | 5.38 | +0.8% | +3.8% | -6.6% | +4.0% | +2.5% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 1.35 | 1.43 | +6.2% | +3.4% | -2.4% | -6.7% | -19.3% |
| 2026-02-19 miss | 0.98 | 0.84 | -14.2% | -10.7% | -14.5% | +2.3% | -8.3% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 3.37 | 3.39 | +0.7% | +0.0% | +0.9% | -7.7% | -20.1% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 5.15 | 5.17 | +0.3% | +8.9% | +3.0% | -5.6% | -0.8% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 1.46 | 1.32 | -9.7% | +1.2% | -6.7% | +2.6% | +4.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.89 | 0.97 | +8.5% | +5.0% | +1.0% | -0.5% | -7.0% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.17 | 3.26 | +2.8% | +8.4% | +7.6% | -4.2% | -2.9% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 4.90 | 4.98 | +1.7% | +7.0% | +10.0% | +1.6% | -0.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 1.93 | 1.85 | -4.0% | -2.6% | -2.0% | -2.7% | -2.0% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 1.27 | 1.30 | +2.1% | -5.6% | -2.6% | +5.0% | +9.8% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 3.44 | 3.50 | +1.8% | +3.7% | -3.4% | -2.9% | +7.7% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 6.12 | 5.89 | -3.7% | -2.3% | -1.3% | +5.7% | -3.3% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 3.19 | 2.46 | -22.8% | -6.1% | -1.9% | +2.9% | +3.8% |
| 2023-02-16 miss | 1.98 | 1.79 | -9.7% | -2.0% | +1.3% | -8.6% | -12.0% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 4.59 | 4.76 | +3.6% | +1.9% | -4.8% | +7.2% | +13.4% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 7.39 | 7.59 | +2.7% | -6.5% | -10.1% | +0.9% | +6.7% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 3.09 | 4.23 | +36.7% | +4.8% | -1.1% | -2.2% | -5.1% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 1.92 | 2.28 | +18.6% | +1.0% | -3.1% | +0.8% | +6.7% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 3.87 | 4.40 | +13.6% | -0.3% | +7.7% | +1.5% | +15.6% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 5.49 | 6.18 | +12.6% | -1.7% | -1.6% | +6.1% | +8.0% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 1.16 | 2.32 | +100.0% | +7.1% | +6.4% | +2.7% | +4.6% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.80 | 1.45 | +81.2% | +0.2% | -5.9% | -1.2% | +5.4% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 2.19 | 2.71 | +23.8% | +2.8% | -1.6% | +3.0% | -3.0% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 3.15 | 3.72 | +18.1% | +3.3% | -0.4% | +4.8% | +10.9% |
| 2020-04-23 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.7% | +5.0% | +7.3% | +3.6% | +16.5% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.37 | 0.44 | +20.4% | -2.9% | +0.4% | +0.5% | -24.8% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 1.78 | 1.95 | +9.3% | +13.7% | +6.1% | -4.4% | -2.7% |
| 2019-07-18 miss | 3.23 | 3.22 | -0.2% | -2.8% | +2.6% | +0.7% | +3.3% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 0.64 | 0.80 | +25.0% | +1.0% | +5.2% | +0.5% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.