PRE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | -0.9% | 6.6% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -0.9% | 6.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -1.8% | -2.2% | 5.6% | 30% |
| 5-day | +4.3% | +0.8% | 16.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 miss | -0.48 | -0.52 | -8.3% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +19.8% | — |
| 2026-06-10 miss | -0.77 | -1.36 | -75.5% | -3.5% | -8.0% | +3.1% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | -0.51 | -0.19 | +63.2% | -2.7% | -7.7% | -15.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | -0.55 | -0.53 | +3.6% | +6.0% | -3.6% | -0.8% | +20.3% |
| 2025-09-12 miss | -0.71 | -0.94 | -32.4% | +12.8% | +13.7% | +19.1% | +37.1% |
| 2025-06-12 | -0.80 | -0.80 | — | +12.2% | +5.5% | +11.7% | +2.9% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | -0.72 | -1.29 | -79.2% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +75.9% |
| 2024-11-27 beat | -0.86 | -0.84 | +2.3% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +12.9% | +31.6% |
| 2024-10-07 beat | -0.93 | -0.88 | +5.4% | -0.2% | -6.9% | -4.6% | -3.7% |
| 2024-06-18 beat | -1.02 | -0.70 | +31.4% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +2.7% | -10.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.