PRE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 6.3% | 39% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | +0.0% | 5.6% | 44% |
| Day 3 | -2.0% | -2.1% | 4.3% | 22% |
| 5-day | -1.3% | -2.1% | 16.1% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 miss | -0.48 | -0.52 | -8.3% | +1.2% | +0.2% | +19.8% | — |
| 2026-06-10 miss | -0.77 | -1.36 | -75.5% | -3.5% | -8.0% | +3.1% | -3.0% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | -0.51 | -0.19 | +63.2% | -2.7% | -7.7% | -15.6% | +5.4% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | -0.55 | -0.53 | +3.6% | +6.0% | -3.6% | -0.8% | +20.3% |
| 2025-09-12 miss | -0.71 | -0.94 | -32.4% | +12.8% | +13.7% | +19.1% | +37.1% |
| 2025-06-12 | -0.80 | -0.80 | — | +12.2% | +5.5% | +11.7% | +2.9% |
| 2025-04-30 miss | -0.72 | -1.29 | -79.2% | +1.1% | +0.0% | -0.8% | +75.9% |
| 2024-11-27 beat | -0.86 | -0.84 | +2.3% | -1.6% | -1.6% | +12.9% | +31.6% |
| 2024-10-07 beat | -0.93 | -0.88 | +5.4% | -0.2% | -6.9% | -4.6% | -3.7% |
| 2024-06-18 beat | -1.02 | -0.70 | +31.4% | +2.3% | -0.2% | +2.7% | -10.6% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | -4.80 | -5.30 | -10.4% | +2.4% | -2.8% | +5.3% | +22.0% |
| 2023-11-20 | -1.20 | -1.20 | — | -1.7% | +1.5% | -4.9% | +4.5% |
| 2023-09-15 miss | -0.90 | -2.10 | -133.3% | +1.6% | -2.0% | -4.6% | -11.6% |
| 2023-06-05 miss | -0.75 | -1.05 | -40.0% | +2.3% | +8.0% | -7.2% | -11.6% |
| 2023-03-14 beat | -1.50 | 0.15 | +110.0% | +8.7% | -6.4% | +7.4% | +3.7% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | -1.95 | 4.46 | +328.9% | -0.3% | +4.0% | -28.2% | -40.1% |
| 2022-09-09 miss | -9.30 | -20.40 | -119.3% | +3.7% | +11.8% | -14.8% | -16.9% |
| 2022-06-06 miss | -19.20 | -33.15 | -72.7% | +0.4% | +0.0% | -30.6% | -18.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.