PROF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -8.3% | -6.3% | 10.6% | 10% |
| Day 2 | -1.5% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | -0.8% | 4.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | -9.5% | -5.7% | 7.6% | 0% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | -0.26 | -0.26 | — | -9.6% | -6.7% | -10.5% | -8.1% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +25.2% | +1.8% | -4.3% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | -0.27 | -0.27 | +1.2% | -13.1% | -29.1% | +3.8% | +20.2% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | -0.38 | -0.26 | +30.9% | -5.7% | +7.9% | -12.3% | +10.2% |
| 2025-08-14 miss | -0.40 | -0.52 | -30.8% | -7.4% | -23.3% | +11.5% | -4.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.28 | -0.36 | -27.4% | -3.6% | -7.0% | +1.7% | +45.8% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | -0.32 | -0.20 | +38.0% | +1.6% | -5.9% | +1.3% | -31.6% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.30 | -0.38 | -25.6% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -8.5% | -11.9% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +1.8% | -1.4% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -15.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.31 | -0.26 | +15.2% | +3.3% | -9.3% | +7.2% | +15.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.