PROF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.1% | -1.3% | 9.8% | 24% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | +0.0% | 4.8% | 22% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 3.0% | 20% |
| 5-day | -3.8% | -1.7% | 8.9% | 17% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | -0.26 | -0.26 | — | -9.6% | -6.7% | -10.5% | -8.1% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | -0.25 | -0.19 | +25.2% | +1.8% | -4.3% | +1.8% | -0.4% |
| 2026-03-05 beat | -0.27 | -0.27 | +1.2% | -13.1% | -29.1% | +3.8% | +20.2% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | -0.38 | -0.26 | +30.9% | -5.7% | +7.9% | -12.3% | +10.2% |
| 2025-08-14 miss | -0.40 | -0.52 | -30.8% | -7.4% | -23.3% | +11.5% | -4.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.28 | -0.36 | -27.4% | -3.6% | -7.0% | +1.7% | +45.8% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | -0.32 | -0.20 | +38.0% | +1.6% | -5.9% | +1.3% | -31.6% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.30 | -0.38 | -25.6% | +0.4% | -2.3% | -8.5% | -11.9% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | -0.28 | -0.28 | +1.8% | -1.4% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -15.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | -0.31 | -0.26 | +15.2% | +3.3% | -9.3% | +7.2% | +15.5% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | -0.32 | -0.42 | -32.4% | -6.9% | -10.9% | +6.0% | +1.1% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | -0.32 | -0.26 | +19.8% | +3.7% | +4.8% | -7.3% | +7.1% |
| 2023-08-09 miss | -0.34 | -0.35 | -1.7% | -0.5% | -3.0% | -12.9% | -10.6% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | -0.34 | -0.32 | +6.6% | +4.4% | +3.4% | -5.0% | +8.5% |
| 2023-03-07 beat | -0.37 | -0.34 | +9.2% | -5.2% | -5.6% | -3.1% | -12.8% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.38 | -0.24 | +36.6% | +3.6% | +18.6% | +4.6% | +12.9% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.39 | -0.28 | +27.6% | -5.8% | -20.6% | +0.1% | -24.1% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | -0.43 | -0.40 | +6.5% | -2.0% | +5.0% | +6.2% | +24.8% |
| 2022-03-03 miss | -0.35 | -0.49 | -40.0% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -11.1% | -3.6% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | -0.30 | -0.29 | +2.2% | +1.0% | -16.6% | +6.7% | +4.2% |
| 2021-08-04 miss | -0.30 | -0.35 | -17.3% | +1.5% | +29.0% | -12.2% | -11.3% |
| 2021-05-12 miss | -0.29 | -0.37 | -28.6% | -7.0% | -5.4% | +12.0% | +14.1% |
| 2021-03-02 miss | -0.30 | -0.38 | -26.5% | +0.1% | -3.2% | +5.4% | -5.4% |
| 2020-11-05 miss | -0.24 | -0.33 | -34.7% | -0.1% | -1.4% | +3.9% | +2.5% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.21 | -0.35 | -62.9% | -1.0% | +2.7% | +1.9% | -5.4% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | -0.26 | -0.18 | +31.9% | -0.3% | +4.3% | -7.3% | -1.9% |
| 2020-03-03 beat | -0.49 | -0.32 | +34.7% | +4.3% | +12.3% | -25.7% | -34.6% |
| 2019-11-07 miss | -0.38 | -0.43 | -12.8% | -0.5% | +0.6% | -7.3% | +0.1% |
| 2019-08-14 miss | -0.33 | -0.38 | -12.7% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2019-05-06 beat | -0.33 | -0.22 | +33.1% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2019-03-07 beat | -0.33 | -0.30 | +10.7% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2018-11-08 miss | -0.34 | -0.38 | -12.1% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2018-08-14 miss | -0.29 | -0.38 | -33.1% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2018-05-10 miss | -0.31 | -0.47 | -51.4% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2018-03-26 miss | -0.39 | -0.47 | -19.4% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2017-11-07 miss | -0.56 | -0.70 | -25.6% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2017-08-23 beat | -0.66 | -0.64 | +3.5% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | -0.52 | -0.51 | +1.9% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2017-03-06 miss | -0.56 | -0.75 | -33.2% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2016-11-16 miss | -0.65 | -0.75 | -13.8% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
| 2016-08-18 beat | -0.78 | -0.70 | +9.7% | +2.8% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -18.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.