PTON chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.8% | +4.7% | 18.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +1.9% | 7.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.9% | +1.8% | 4.6% | 70% |
| 5-day | +11.0% | +15.8% | 23.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +7.1% | -9.5% | -15.6% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -20.4% | +13.4% | +8.8% | -8.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +41.1% | -18.6% | -25.7% | -3.6% | -12.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +504.0% | +1.3% | +14.2% | -2.3% | -11.6% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | -0.03 | 0.11 | +479.0% | +5.0% | +0.6% | +19.4% | +13.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.06 | -0.12 | -97.4% | -9.7% | -6.7% | -2.8% | +17.5% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | -0.16 | -0.19 | -19.2% | +17.5% | +12.0% | +19.6% | -33.8% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | -0.14 | 0.08 | +156.0% | +18.5% | +27.8% | -5.6% | +12.4% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | -0.16 | -0.08 | +53.8% | +14.0% | +35.4% | +1.8% | +4.2% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.35 | -0.45 | -28.1% | +12.1% | -2.8% | +42.5% | +16.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.