PTON chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -3.5% | 16.8% | 39% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | -1.8% | 6.4% | 46% |
| Day 3 | +1.0% | +1.5% | 4.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | -1.1% | 20.5% | 46% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +7.1% | -9.5% | -15.6% | +1.0% | -1.9% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.08 | 0.06 | -20.4% | +13.4% | +8.8% | -8.5% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +41.1% | -18.6% | -25.7% | -3.6% | -12.1% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.01 | 0.06 | +504.0% | +1.3% | +14.2% | -2.3% | -11.6% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | -0.03 | 0.11 | +479.0% | +5.0% | +0.6% | +19.4% | +13.9% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | -0.06 | -0.12 | -97.4% | -9.7% | -6.7% | -2.8% | +17.5% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | -0.16 | -0.19 | -19.2% | +17.5% | +12.0% | +19.6% | -33.8% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | -0.14 | 0.08 | +156.0% | +18.5% | +27.8% | -5.6% | +12.4% |
| 2024-08-22 beat | -0.16 | -0.08 | +53.8% | +14.0% | +35.4% | +1.8% | +4.2% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.35 | -0.45 | -28.1% | +12.1% | -2.8% | +42.5% | +16.6% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | -0.52 | -0.50 | +4.7% | -5.9% | -24.3% | +7.6% | +3.3% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -0.29 | -0.32 | -11.4% | -3.5% | +12.9% | -17.9% | +16.8% |
| 2023-08-23 miss | -0.40 | -0.68 | -71.6% | -26.3% | -22.6% | +15.3% | -17.6% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | -0.47 | -0.37 | +21.8% | -13.6% | -13.5% | -10.2% | +7.1% |
| 2023-02-01 miss | -0.64 | -0.68 | -5.8% | -3.7% | +3.8% | -12.8% | -18.3% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | -0.65 | -1.20 | -83.2% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +10.0% | +32.7% |
| 2022-08-25 miss | -0.77 | -1.32 | -70.7% | -13.4% | -18.3% | -6.6% | -25.3% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | -1.02 | -0.98 | +4.3% | -14.4% | -8.7% | +20.5% | -13.8% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | -1.22 | -1.39 | -14.0% | +1.5% | +25.3% | -10.8% | -39.3% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | -1.14 | -1.10 | +3.2% | -33.6% | -35.3% | -11.5% | -24.9% |
| 2021-08-26 miss | -0.48 | -1.05 | -120.7% | -5.3% | -8.5% | -5.5% | -15.9% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | -0.07 | — | +106.6% | +6.9% | +0.0% | +15.2% | +30.9% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 0.12 | 0.21 | +74.2% | -5.4% | -5.9% | +4.3% | -21.8% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.12 | 0.23 | +88.6% | -2.9% | -0.9% | -19.7% | -5.7% |
| 2020-09-10 beat | 0.12 | 0.30 | +153.2% | +11.8% | -4.2% | +6.7% | +51.5% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | -0.15 | -0.02 | +87.2% | +20.1% | +16.0% | +2.2% | +1.5% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | -0.35 | -0.20 | +43.1% | -8.4% | -11.3% | -0.5% | -20.0% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | -0.36 | -0.16 | +55.4% | -2.3% | -7.6% | +8.6% | +37.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.