PYPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.4% | -1.3% | 9.0% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.1% | 2.2% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 1.4% | 20% |
| 5-day | -5.6% | -5.6% | 9.2% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.28 | 1.38 | +8.0% | +1.2% | +4.0% | +0.4% | +6.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.27 | 1.34 | +5.6% | -10.0% | -7.7% | -2.3% | -8.0% |
| 2026-02-03 miss | 1.29 | 1.23 | -4.4% | -18.0% | -20.3% | -0.5% | +14.2% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.21 | 1.34 | +11.1% | +8.5% | +3.9% | -9.5% | -15.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.30 | 1.40 | +8.0% | -8.3% | -8.7% | -5.1% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.16 | 1.33 | +14.5% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +7.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.0% | -8.1% | -13.2% | -1.9% | -12.4% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.2% | -6.6% | -4.0% | -1.3% | +7.8% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.19 | +20.6% | +6.5% | +8.6% | -2.0% | +10.0% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 1.22 | 1.08 | -11.4% | +4.5% | +1.4% | -2.9% | -8.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.