PYPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.8% | +0.9% | 9.5% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 3.0% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.6% | 2.5% | 43% |
| 5-day | -2.3% | -2.5% | 11.2% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.28 | 1.38 | +8.0% | +1.2% | +4.0% | +0.4% | +6.0% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 1.27 | 1.34 | +5.6% | -10.0% | -7.7% | -2.3% | -8.0% |
| 2026-02-03 miss | 1.29 | 1.23 | -4.4% | -18.0% | -20.3% | -0.5% | +14.2% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 1.21 | 1.34 | +11.1% | +8.5% | +3.9% | -9.5% | -15.3% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 1.30 | 1.40 | +8.0% | -8.3% | -8.7% | -5.1% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 1.16 | 1.33 | +14.5% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +7.0% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.12 | 1.19 | +6.0% | -8.1% | -13.2% | -1.9% | -12.4% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 1.07 | 1.20 | +12.2% | -6.6% | -4.0% | -1.3% | +7.8% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.99 | 1.19 | +20.6% | +6.5% | +8.6% | -2.0% | +10.0% |
| 2024-04-30 miss | 1.22 | 1.08 | -11.4% | +4.5% | +1.4% | -2.9% | -8.0% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 1.36 | 1.48 | +8.7% | -8.3% | -11.2% | +6.4% | +7.0% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 1.23 | 1.30 | +5.8% | +6.6% | +6.6% | -1.4% | +8.7% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 1.16 | 1.16 | -0.3% | -8.9% | -12.3% | -2.2% | -1.0% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 1.10 | 1.17 | +6.4% | -7.9% | -12.7% | -7.7% | -2.5% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.20 | 1.24 | +3.4% | +1.2% | +3.0% | -7.6% | -9.4% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.96 | 1.08 | +12.5% | -2.0% | -1.8% | +21.1% | -3.9% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.87 | 0.93 | +6.7% | +12.8% | +9.2% | +1.0% | -5.4% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.88 | 0.88 | +0.3% | +3.0% | +11.5% | -7.2% | -7.5% |
| 2022-02-01 miss | 1.12 | 1.11 | -1.0% | -20.4% | -24.6% | -7.3% | -24.6% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 1.08 | 1.11 | +3.1% | -7.4% | -10.5% | +5.0% | -6.7% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 1.12 | 1.15 | +2.3% | -5.5% | -6.2% | -0.9% | -1.7% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.02 | 1.22 | +20.0% | +3.5% | +1.9% | -4.5% | +3.4% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 1.00 | 1.08 | +8.3% | +5.3% | +7.4% | +5.4% | -16.4% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.94 | 1.07 | +13.5% | -5.2% | -4.2% | +2.0% | +19.3% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.87 | 1.07 | +22.5% | +3.9% | +4.3% | +6.0% | +6.2% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.75 | 0.66 | -11.6% | +9.0% | +14.0% | -1.3% | +6.7% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.2% | -3.3% | +0.4% | +2.4% | -3.6% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +1.3% | +9.8% | +8.6% | -0.8% | -3.0% |
| 2019-07-24 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +3.6% | -3.8% | -5.1% | -3.8% | -7.9% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.68 | 0.78 | +15.4% | +1.2% | +2.8% | -0.5% | -0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.