RACE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +1.8% | 6.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +1.2% | 2.1% | 80% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | +0.5% | 1.4% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +3.5% | 7.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.51 | 2.62 | +4.4% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +2.4% | +5.7% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | 2.37 | 2.33 | -1.8% | -1.6% | -4.0% | +1.2% | +7.5% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 2.20 | 2.14 | -2.6% | +7.8% | +8.1% | +0.9% | -7.9% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 2.04 | 2.14 | +4.8% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +5.8% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.31 | 2.38 | +3.0% | -8.5% | -11.1% | +1.2% | +7.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.25 | 2.30 | +2.4% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.82 | 2.14 | +17.6% | +5.8% | +7.1% | +3.4% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.00 | 2.08 | +3.8% | -6.1% | -7.4% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.04 | 2.29 | +12.4% | +4.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +17.8% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.86 | 1.95 | +4.7% | -1.9% | -6.2% | +2.5% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.