RACE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +1.9% | 5.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 2.6% | 58% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +1.9% | 7.2% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 2.51 | 2.62 | +4.4% | +1.1% | +3.1% | +2.4% | +5.7% |
| 2026-05-04 miss | 2.37 | 2.33 | -1.8% | -1.6% | -4.0% | +1.2% | +7.5% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 2.20 | 2.14 | -2.6% | +7.8% | +8.1% | +0.9% | -7.9% |
| 2025-11-03 beat | 2.04 | 2.14 | +4.8% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +5.8% | -1.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 2.31 | 2.38 | +3.0% | -8.5% | -11.1% | +1.2% | +7.6% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 2.25 | 2.30 | +2.4% | +0.9% | +1.6% | +3.5% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 1.82 | 2.14 | +17.6% | +5.8% | +7.1% | +3.4% | -2.7% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 2.00 | 2.08 | +3.8% | -6.1% | -7.4% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 2.04 | 2.29 | +12.4% | +4.0% | +2.1% | -0.3% | +17.8% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.86 | 1.95 | +4.7% | -1.9% | -6.2% | +2.5% | +4.0% |
| 2024-02-01 beat | 1.51 | 1.62 | +7.4% | +7.8% | +12.6% | -1.1% | +6.2% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 1.57 | 1.82 | +15.8% | +4.6% | +6.0% | +3.9% | +9.3% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.70 | 1.83 | +7.6% | -1.8% | -1.3% | -0.6% | +1.3% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 1.44 | 1.62 | +12.9% | +4.5% | +5.1% | +0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2023-02-02 beat | 1.16 | 1.21 | +4.7% | +4.7% | +4.8% | +0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.16 | 1.23 | +6.1% | -1.3% | +0.5% | +10.5% | +16.2% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 1.21 | 1.36 | +12.0% | -0.9% | -1.0% | -0.3% | -7.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.19 | 1.29 | +8.2% | -2.5% | -1.2% | -11.0% | -10.4% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 1.03 | 1.16 | +12.1% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -1.9% | -16.8% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.99 | 1.11 | +12.6% | +0.1% | +3.8% | +3.2% | +5.5% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 1.01 | 1.11 | +10.4% | -0.7% | -2.8% | +4.7% | +2.5% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 1.07 | 1.11 | +3.4% | -4.2% | -6.9% | -2.5% | +6.1% |
| 2021-02-02 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +1.4% | -2.7% | -4.2% | +0.7% | -9.6% |
| 2020-11-03 beat | 0.80 | 0.92 | +15.1% | +5.4% | +7.0% | +4.4% | +9.9% |
| 2020-08-03 miss | 0.12 | 0.04 | -65.6% | -0.1% | +2.6% | -1.2% | +4.9% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +5.0% | +3.5% | +6.4% | +1.0% | +11.1% |
| 2020-02-04 miss | 0.98 | 0.90 | -8.1% | -1.2% | -1.0% | +1.6% | -8.5% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | 0.86 | 0.90 | +4.0% | +6.5% | +5.3% | -3.3% | -1.4% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 0.94 | 0.96 | +2.1% | -0.8% | -2.2% | -0.4% | -0.9% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.79 | 0.95 | +20.6% | +4.5% | +4.1% | +2.4% | +7.8% |
| 2019-01-31 beat | 0.78 | 1.00 | +28.1% | +3.0% | +12.1% | -1.4% | +3.6% |
| 2018-11-05 miss | 0.97 | 0.77 | -20.8% | -2.6% | -1.6% | -9.5% | -8.5% |
| 2018-08-01 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +5.4% | +1.6% | -11.0% | +6.6% | +12.7% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 0.72 | 0.78 | +8.7% | -1.3% | +4.1% | +3.5% | +1.0% |
| 2018-02-01 | 0.71 | 0.71 | — | +3.7% | +7.3% | -6.7% | -5.2% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.68 | 0.74 | +9.1% | -1.3% | -2.4% | -6.5% | -10.9% |
| 2017-08-02 beat | 0.69 | 0.72 | +3.7% | -2.1% | +2.0% | +0.7% | +3.6% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.53 | 0.65 | +21.6% | +3.4% | +7.2% | +1.9% | +11.0% |
| 2017-02-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.69 | +30.2% | +4.6% | +4.0% | +0.2% | +0.9% |
| 2016-11-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +16.0% | +4.8% | +7.5% | -3.0% | +3.8% |
| 2016-08-05 beat | 0.44 | 0.55 | +26.2% | +0.7% | +0.5% | +3.3% | +3.8% |
| 2016-05-02 beat | 0.30 | 0.41 | +34.6% | +1.4% | -2.9% | -3.6% | -4.5% |
| 2016-02-02 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +5.5% | -0.2% | -12.4% | -2.9% | +12.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.